Skip to main content

Road Traffic Forecasting Using NeuCube and Dynamic Evolving Spiking Neural Networks

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Intelligent Distributed Computing XII (IDC 2018)

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 798))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

This paper presents a new approach for spatio-temporal road traffic forecasting that relies on the adoption of the NeuCube architecture based on spiking neural networks. The NeuCube platform was originally conceived and designed to process electroencephalographic (EEG) signals considering their temporal component and their spatial source within the brain. Its neural representation allows for a visual analysis of connectivity among different locations, and also provides a prediction tool harnessing the predictive learning capabilities of dynamic evolving Spiking Neural Networks (deSNNs). Taking advantage of the NeuCube features, this work focuses on the potential of spatially-aware traffic variable forecasts, as well as on the exploration of the spatio-temporal relationships among different sensor locations within a traffic network. Its performance, assessed over real traffic data collected in 51 locations in the center of Madrid (Spain), is superior to that of other machine learning techniques in terms of forecasting accuracy. Moreover, we discuss on the interactions and relationships among sensors of the network provided by Neucube, which may provide valuable insights on the traffic dynamics of the city under study towards enhancing its management.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Abadi, A., Rajabioun, T., Ioannou, P.A.: Traffic flow prediction for road transportation networks with limited traffic data. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 16(2), 653–662 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Ahmed, M.S, Cook, A.R.: Analysis of freeway traffic time-series data by using box-jenkins techniques, vol. 722 (1979)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bose, P., Kasabov, N.K., Bruzzone, L., Hartono, R.N.: Spiking neural networks for crop yield estimation based on spatiotemporal analysis of image time series. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens. 54(11), 6563–6573 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Cai, P., Wang, Y., Lu, G., Chen, P., Ding, C., Sun, J.: A spatiotemporal correlative k-nearest neighbor model for short-term traffic multistep forecasting. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 62, 21–34 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Capano, V., Herrmann, H.J., de Arcangelis, L.: Optimal percentage of inhibitory synapses in multi-task learning. Sci. Rep. 5, 9895 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Capecci, E., Kasabov, N., Wang, G.Y.: Analysis of connectivity in neucube spiking neural network models trained on eeg data for the understanding of functional changes in the brain: a case study on opiate dependence treatment. Neural Netw. 68, 62–77 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Chen, Y., Hu, J., Kasabov, N., Hou, Z.G., Cheng, L.: Neucuberehab: a pilot study for eeg classification in rehabilitation practice based on spiking neural networks. Neural Inf. Process. 8228, 70–77 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Espinosa-Ramos, J.I., Capecci, E., Kasabov, N.: A computational model of neuroreceptor dependent plasticity (NRDP) based on spiking neural networks. IEEE Trans. Cogn. Dev. Syst. 99, 1–1 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Fusi, S.: Spike-driven synaptic plasticity for learning correlated patterns of asynchronous activity. In: International Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, pp. 241–247. Springer, Heidelberg (2002)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Gerstner, W.: Plausible Neural Networks for Biological Modelling. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht (2001). vol What’s different with spiking neurons?

    Google Scholar 

  11. Hebb, D.O.: The Organization of Behavior: A Neuropsychological Approach. Wiley, New York (1949)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Kasabov, N.: Evolving Connectionist Systems: The Knowledge Engineering Approach. Springer, Heidelberg (2007)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  13. Kasabov, N.: Evolving spatio-temporal data machines based on the neucube neuromorphic framework: design methodology and selected applications. Neural Netw. 78, 1–14 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Kasabov, N., Dhoble, K., Nuntalid, N., Indiveri, G.: Dynamic evolving spiking neural networks for on-line spatio- and spectro-temporal pattern recognition. Neural Netw. 41, 188–201 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Kulkarni, S., Simon, S.P., Sundareswaran, K.: A spiking neural network (SNN) forecast engine for short-term electrical load forecasting. Appl. Soft Comput. 13(8), 3628–3635 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Laña, I., Del Ser, J., Vélez, M., Vlahogianni, E.I.: Road traffic forecasting: recent advances and new challenges. IEEE Intell. Transp. Syst. Mag. 10, 93–109 (2018a)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Laña, I., Olabarrieta, I.I., Del Ser, J., Vélez, M.: On the imputation of missing data for road traffic forecasting: new insights and novel techniques accepted pending to be published. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 90, 18–33 (2018b)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Levin, M., Tsao, Y.: On forecasting freeway occupancies and volumes. Transp. Res. Rec. 773, 47–49 (1980)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Madrid Open Data Portal (2018). http://datos.madrid.es. Accessed 31 Jan 2018

  20. Reid, D., Hussain, A.J., Tawfik, H.: Spiking neural networks for financial data prediction. In: The 2013 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), pp. 1–10. IEEE (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Song, M.K.D., Abbott, L.F.: Competitive hebbian learning through spike-timing-dependent synaptic plasticity. Nat. Neurosci. 3(9), 919–926 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Stathopoulos, A., Karlaftis, M.G.: A multivariate state space approach for urban traffic flow modeling and prediction. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 11(2), 121–135 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Thorpe, S.J., Gautrais, J.: Rank order coding. In: Computational Neuroscience, pp. 113–118. Springer, Heidelberg (1998)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  24. Tu, E., Kasabov, N., Yang, J.: Mapping temporal variables into the neucube for improved pattern recognition, predictive modeling, and understanding of stream data. IEEE Trans. Neural Netw. Learn. Syst. 28(6), 1305–1317 (2017)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  25. Van Arem, B., Kirby, H.R., Van Der Vlist, M.J.M., Whittaker, J.C.: Recent advances and applications in the field of short-term traffic forecasting. Int. J. Forecast. 13(1), 1–12 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Van Hinsbergen, C., Van Lint, J., Sanders, F.: Short term traffic prediction models. In: World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Vlahogianni, E.I., Golias, J.C., Karlaftis, M.G.: Short-term traffic forecasting: overview of objectives and methods. Transp. Rev. 24(5), 533–557 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Vlahogianni, E.I., Karlaftis, M.G., Golias, J.C.: Short-term traffic forecasting: where we are and where we’re going. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 43, 3–19 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Wu, Y., Chen, F., Lu, C., Yang, S.: Urban traffic flow prediction using a spatio-temporal random effects model. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. Technol. Plan. Oper. 2450, 1–12 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  30. Wysoski, S.G., Benuskova, L., Kasabov, N.: Evolving spiking neural networks for audiovisual information processing. Neural Netw. 23(7), 819–835 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Xu, J., Deng, D., Demiryurek, U., Shahabi, C., Van Der Schaar, M.: Mining the situation: spatio-temporal traffic prediction with big data. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Signal Process. 9(4), 702–715 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Yang, L., Zhongjian, T.: Prediction of grain yield based on spiking neural networks model. In: 2011 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Communication Software and Networks (ICCSN), pp. 171–174. IEEE (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  33. Zhu, Z., Peng, B., Xiong, C., Zhang, L.: Short-term traffic flow prediction with linear conditional Gaussian Bayesian network. J. Adv. Transp. 1–13 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the EU project Pacific Atlantic Network for Technical Higher Education and Research - PANTHER (grant number 2013-5659/004-001 EMA2), and by the Basque Government (EMAITEK program).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ibai Laña .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Laña, I., Capecci, E., Del Ser, J., Lobo, J.L., Kasabov, N. (2018). Road Traffic Forecasting Using NeuCube and Dynamic Evolving Spiking Neural Networks. In: Del Ser, J., Osaba, E., Bilbao, M., Sanchez-Medina, J., Vecchio, M., Yang, XS. (eds) Intelligent Distributed Computing XII. IDC 2018. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 798. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99626-4_17

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99626-4_17

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-99625-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-99626-4

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics