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Statistical Downscaling of Global Climate Model MIROC_4h Outputs to Precipitation in Rwanda

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Innovations and Interdisciplinary Solutions for Underserved Areas (InterSol 2018)

Abstract

Statistically downscaled models for precipitation based on multiple linear regression were developed and validated in the four different climatological zones of Rwanda for period, 1961–1990. The validation of these monthly models was majorly based on the ability of the model to reproduce trends of rainfall for an independent period. The downscaled simulations suggest that there will generally be increases in precipitation for majority of the months and increases of over 15% in the known onset months of rain seasons. The dry months are also expected to experience slight variations for the Eastern zone.

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Correspondence to Mutabazi Alphonse .

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© 2018 ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering

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Pearl, N., Alphonse, M. (2018). Statistical Downscaling of Global Climate Model MIROC_4h Outputs to Precipitation in Rwanda. In: Kebe, C., Gueye, A., Ndiaye, A., Garba, A. (eds) Innovations and Interdisciplinary Solutions for Underserved Areas. InterSol 2018. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 249. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98878-8_16

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-98878-8_16

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-98877-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-98878-8

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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