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America’s Decline? Toward an Imperfect Multipolar World

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The American Economy from Roosevelt to Trump
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Abstract

Much has been written about America’s decline and indeed in the 2000s the US economy has shown a relative economic decline, while wars and social and political tensions have reduced its inner solidity and its international appeal. Nonetheless, the US remains the top economic, financial, political, and military power in the world. Many factors, however, contribute to a US decline and to a partial rebalancing trend in economic and global power: the impetuous rise of other giant economies such as China and India; the partial recovery of Russia after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the severe transition crisis; the vast, though fragile, unification project in Europe; the growth of some emerging countries; the ferments and dangers coming from the Islamic world; and so on. We are thus gradually moving toward an imperfect multipolar world, which we have called imperfect because of the vast differences in power and cohesion existing among the various poles. A few concluding remarks will complete our general picture.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    See, for example, Arrighi (1994, 2010), Gordon (2016), Wallerstein (2004). Payne (2009), pp. 54–55.

  2. 2.

    See De Cecco (1974). See also the beautiful note in memory of Marcello De Cecco written (in Italian) by Joseph Halevi (2016). In this note, Halevi also observes that De Cecco’s interpretative scheme might also have been partially applied to the crisis of the Japanese empire before Second World War.

  3. 3.

    See Braudel (1984), Arrighi (1994, 2010) and Payne (2009), chap. 2.

  4. 4.

    See Braudel (1984), also quoted in Giovanni Arrighi (1994, 2010).

  5. 5.

    See Valli (2015), chap. 2. On the Chinese reforms, see, for example, also Perkins (2015), Naughton (2006) and Musu (2011).

  6. 6.

    See Gerschenkron (1962) for the introduction of this concept.

  7. 7.

    See Valli (2015), paragraph 2.13.

  8. 8.

    See Valli and Saccone (2009) and (2015) for economic development and structural change in China, compared with the Indian case. The second paper tries also to explain the relations between structural change and globalization in the two countries.

  9. 9.

    See UNCTAD (2018).

  10. 10.

    See Morrison (2018), pp. 3–30.

  11. 11.

    The UK decided to leave the European Union as a consequence of the Brexit referendum of June 23, 2016, but the exit process has not yet been completed and will probably end in 2019. The PPP estimates are extracted from World Bank (2018) and are a little different from the Conference Board estimates.

  12. 12.

    On the theoretical and applied problems of the Euro see, for example, the in-depth analyses of De Grauwe (2016) and of Marelli and Signorelli (2017).

  13. 13.

    For a more detailed analysis, see Valli (2017), chap. 3.

  14. 14.

    See for example, Basu and Maertens, eds. (2012), Valli (2015), chaps. 3 and 4.

  15. 15.

    The Fortune list regards the ranking of major companies by total revenues.

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Valli, V. (2018). America’s Decline? Toward an Imperfect Multipolar World. In: The American Economy from Roosevelt to Trump. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96953-4_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96953-4_12

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  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-96952-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-96953-4

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