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Economic Crisis, Turbulence and the Resilience of Innovation: Insights from the Atlantic Maritime Cluster

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Resilience and Regional Dynamics

Part of the book series: Advances in Spatial Science ((ADVSPATIAL))

Abstract

Innovation is related to economic cycles. Often seen as a procyclical phenomenon, many innovation actors try and succeed in maintaining (and even increasing) their innovation efforts to gain competitive advantage during the crises. In this chapter, departing from the recent developments in regional studies, which understand resilience as an evolutionary capacity of socio-economic systems, we suggest the notion of ‘resilience of innovation’ as the capacity of an innovation process to maintain its function at different levels of operation. Drawing upon the results from a survey on knowledge provision and needs of maritime cluster innovative actors in the European Atlantic Area, our analysis focuses on the evolution of innovation and knowledge services. We provide parametric and non-parametric evidence of the differences in the provision and utilisation of these services and provide econometric evidence of the main factors that influence the resilience of innovation at the organizational level.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The survey was part of the European project KIMERAA (available at www.kimeraa.eu) aimed at developing economic niches of excellence through the creation of strong linkages between firms and science organizations within the marine sciences and maritime activities.

  2. 2.

    The descriptive statistics report “Knowledge needs and innovation in the maritime economy” with interim data collection is available in the project website.

  3. 3.

    We used for this section the IBM SPSS Statistics 21.

  4. 4.

    These two variables do not follow a normal distribution. The graphical intuition provided but the Q-Q plots and histograms is confirmed by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (1.869 and 3.759 compared to n > 40 and Sig 1% = 0.25205) (see histograms in Appendix).

  5. 5.

    Looking for the homogeneity of variances, Levene test does not reject its null hypotheses of groups having homogeneous variances for the variable “utilisation”. In this case ANOVA is valid (results in Appendix). But for “provision”, the test rejects this H0 meaning that we need to use a non-parametric technique. We used Kruskal-Wallis that reinforced the findings (table test is also presented in Appendix).

  6. 6.

    “SIZE_BIG” is a binary variable that assumes the value 1 if the organization has 250 or more workers. “UNIV_PROS” assumes 1 if organization is a university or other PRO. “MARKET_VARIATION” is a dummy that assumes value 1 if organizations believe that their market experienced an increased or at least an equal demand of innovation and knowledge-based services during the last 3 years.

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Acknowledgements

This chapter was stimulated by KIMERAA—Knowledge transfer to Improve Marine Economy in Regions from the Atlantic Area, project developed between 2011 and 2014, co-financed by the European cooperation program INTERREG Atlantic Area through the ERDF—European Regional Development Fund. The help of project partners in the data collection is gratefully acknowledged. Carla Nogueira benefits from the financial support from FCT—Portuguese Science and Technology Foundation (SFRH/BD/117398/2016). Hugo Pinto also acknowledges the financial support from FCT (SFRH/BPD/84038/2012).

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Appendix

Appendix

1.1 Histogram of Variety of Uses and Provisions

figure a

Source: Own elaboration

1.2 Anova

 

Sum of squares

df

Mean square

F

Sig.

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years

Between groups

423.221

5

84.644

12.165

.000

Within groups

667.955

96

6.958

  

Total

1091.176

101

   

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years

Between groups

181.297

5

36.259

7.019

.000

Within groups

495.958

96

5.166

  

Total

677.255

101

   
  1. Source: Own elaboration

1.3 Kruskal-Wallis Test

 

Size of organization

N

Mean rank

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years

0

33

29.26

Less than 10 employees

28

48.00

10–50 employees

13

70.08

50–250 employees

9

84.61

250–500 employees

11

62.09

> 500 employees

8

73.50

Total

102

 

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years

0

33

37.80

Less than 10 employees

28

47.66

10–50 employees

13

57.15

50–250 employees

9

79.44

250–500 employees

11

59.23

> 500 employees

8

70.19

Total

102

 
  1. Source: Own elaboration

Kruskal Wallis test

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years

Chi-Square

43.218

27.451

Df

5

5

Asymp. Sig.

0.000

0.000

  1. Source: Own elaboration
  2. Notes: Kruskal Wallis test, Grouping variable: what is the size of your organization?

1.4 Mann–Whitney Test

 

Universities and PROs

N

Mean rank

Sum of ranks

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years

Other

86

47.62

4095.50

University or PRO

16

72.34

1157.50

Total

102

  

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years

Other

86

46.28

3980.00

University or PRO

16

79.56

1273.00

Total

102

  
  1. Source: Own elaboration
 

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years

Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years

Mann-Whitney U

354.500

239.000

Wilcoxon W

4095.500

3980.000

Z

−3.140

−4.842

Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed)

0.002

0.000

  1. Source: Own elaboration
  2. Note: Grouping variable: Universities and PROs

1.5 Tests for Independence

Association of between “Does your organization provide or administer any knowledge exchange services or schemes?: * Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services used in the last 3 years”.

Chi-square tests

 

Value

df

Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

Pearson Chi-square

103.831a

33

0.000

Likelihood ratio

112.200

33

0.000

Linear-by-linear association

5.112

1

0.024

N of valid cases

102

  
  1. Source: Own elaboration
  2. a45 cells (93.8%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 0.04

Symmetric measures

 

Value

Approx. Sig.

Nominal by nominal

Contingency coefficient

0.710

0.000

N of valid cases

102

 
  1. Source: Own elaboration

Association between “Does your organization provide or administer any knowledge exchange services or schemes? * Variety of knowledge exchange activities or services provided in the last 3 years”.

Chi-square tests

 

Value

df

Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)

Pearson Chi-square

97.740a

33

0.000

Likelihood ratio

123.252

33

0.000

Linear-by-linear association

1.394

1

0.238

N of valid cases

102

  
  1. Source: Own elaboration
  2. a45 cells (93.8%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 0.04

Symmetric measures

 

Value

Approx. Sig.

Nominal by nominal

Contingency coefficient

0.700

0.000

N of valid cases

102

 
  1. Source: Own elaboration

1.6 Predictive Capacity of Probit Model

Model in E-Views: resilience c client_firm clients_export size_big univ_pros kmanag eval use provision market_variation.

1.6.1 Global Model

Mean dependent var

0.401961

S.D. dependent var

0.492715

S.E. of regression

0.309832

Akaike info criterion

0.711688

Sum squared resid

8.831618

Schwarz criterion

0.969038

Log likelihood

−26.29607

Hannan-Quinn criter.

0.815898

Restr. log likelihood

−68.72747

Avg. log likelihood

−0.257805

LR statistic (9 df)

84.86279

McFadden R-squared

0.617386

Probability(LR stat)

1.74E-14

   

Obs with Dep = 0

61

Total obs

102

Obs with Dep = 1

41

   
  1. Source: Own elaboration

Global model prediction evaluation (success cutoff C = 0.5)

 

Estimated equation

Constant probability

Dep = 0

Dep = 1

Total

Dep = 0

Dep = 1

Total

P(Dep = 1) < =C

55

7

62

61

41

102

P(Dep = 1) > C

6

34

40

0

0

0

Total

61

41

102

61

41

102

Correct

55

34

89

61

0

61

% Correct

90.16

82.93

87.25

100.00

0.00

59.80

% Incorrect

9.84

17.07

12.75

0.00

100.00

40.20

Total Gaina

−9.84

82.93

27.45

   

Percent Gainb

NA

82.93

68.29

   
 

Estimated equation

Constant probability

Dep = 0

Dep = 1

Total

Dep = 0

Dep = 1

Total

E(# of Dep = 0)

52.69

8.58

61.27

36.48

24.52

61.00

E(# of Dep = 1)

8.31

32.42

40.73

24.52

16.48

41.00

Total

61.00

41.00

102.00

61.00

41.00

102.00

Correct

52.69

32.42

85.11

36.48

16.48

52.96

% Correct

86.38

79.07

83.44

59.80

40.20

51.92

% Incorrect

13.62

20.93

16.56

40.20

59.80

48.08

Total Gaina

26.57

38.87

31.52

   

Percent Gainb

66.11

65.00

65.56

   
  1. Source: Own elaboration
  2. aChange in “% Correct” from default (constant probability) specification
  3. bPercent of incorrect (default) prediction corrected by equation

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Pinto, H., Uyarra, E., Bleda, M., Nogueira, C., Almeida, H. (2018). Economic Crisis, Turbulence and the Resilience of Innovation: Insights from the Atlantic Maritime Cluster. In: Pinto, H., Noronha, T., Vaz, E. (eds) Resilience and Regional Dynamics. Advances in Spatial Science. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-95135-5_4

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