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Bayesian Unpaired T-Test

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Modern Bayesian Statistics in Clinical Research

Abstract

In studies with two unpaired samples of continuous data the difference of the two means and their pooled standard error is usually compared to zero. Instead of an unpaired t-test also a Bayesian analysis on the difference of two group means is possible. A traditional unpaired t-test of parallel group study provided a statistically significantly difference in treatment efficacy with t = −3.558, p-value = 0.002. A Bayesian unpaired t-test provided support in favor of the traditional test with a Bayes factor of 0.056. The robustness was assessed.

1. Bootstraps unpaired t-test 95% confidence interval

−2.61536 to −0.71752

2. Bayesian unpaired t-test 95% credible interval

−2.8098 to −0.6302

3. Gaussian unpaired t-test 95% confidence interval

−2.73557 to −0.79443

Obviously the 95% confidence interval of the bootstraps t-test was closer to the traditional Gaussian t-test than it was to the Bayesian t-test. Under the assumption that bootstrap sampling is entirely without overfitting, this would be an argument of overfitting of the Bayesian t-test and an argument in favor of the traditional Gaussian approach. However, with an informed prior this was less a problem.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    To readers requesting more background, theoretical and mathematical information of computations given, several textbooks complementary to the current production and written by the same authors are available.

  2. 2.

    All of them have been written by the same authors and they have been edited by Springer Heidelberg Germany.

Suggested Reading ,

To readers requesting more background, theoretical and mathematical information of computations given, several textbooks complementary to the current production and written by the same authors are available.

All of them have been written by the same authors and they have been edited by Springer Heidelberg Germany.

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Cleophas, T.J., Zwinderman, A.H. (2018). Bayesian Unpaired T-Test. In: Modern Bayesian Statistics in Clinical Research . Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-92747-3_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-92747-3_6

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-92746-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-92747-3

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