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Probabilistic Assessment of Seismic Risk of Dwelling Buildings of Barcelona. Implication for the City Resilience

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Urban Resilience for Risk and Adaptation Governance

Part of the book series: Resilient Cities ((RCRUT))

Abstract

The knowledge of seismic risk of buildings can contribute to increase the resilience of cities. In the present work a new assessment of the seismic risk of dwelling buildings of Barcelona was done. This assessment was performed according to a probabilistic methodology, which is summarized in the following steps: (1) performing a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) to obtain exceedance rates of macroseismic intensities; (2) performing a probabilistic seismic vulnerability assessment (PSVA) of each building in order to determine probability density functions that describe the variation of a vulnerability index; and (3) performing a probabilistic seismic risk assessment (PSRA) to generate seismic risk curves in terms of frequencies of exceedance of damage states. In the present work 69,982 dwelling buildings of Barcelona were assessed. According to the results the percentage of dwelling buildings of Barcelona that have a probability equal or greater than 1% of suffer partial collapse in the next 50 years is a value between 0% and 34.29%. A value of 0% corresponds to the results of seismic risk obtained for the case where regional vulnerability modifiers were not considered during the procedure to assess the seismic vulnerability of buildings and 34.29% correspond to the case where regional vulnerability modifiers were considered. For the same two options, the losses due to the physical damage of the dwelling buildings of Barcelona assessed for an exposure time of 50 years, could vary from 807.3 to 1739.4 millions of euros, respectively. Finally, possible uses of the seismic risk results computed in the present work are mentioned.

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Acknowledgements

Thanks to University of Veracruz, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, CONACYT and PRODEP. This research has been partially funded by the Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (MINECO) of the Spanish Government and by the European Regional Development Fund (FEDER) of the European Union (UE) through projects referenced as: CGL2011-23621 and CGL2015-65913 -P (MINECO /FEDER, UE).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain & Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universidad Veracruzana, Poza Rica, Mexico

    Armando Aguilar-Meléndez

  2. Division of Geotechnical Engineering and Geosciences, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. BarcelonaTECH, Barcelona, Spain

    Lluis G. Pujades & Nieves Lantada

  3. Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain

    Josep De la Puente

  4. Division of Mechanics, Continuous Media and structures, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. BarcelonaTECH, Barcelona, Spain

    Alex H. Barbat

  5. Engineering Institute, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, Mexico

    Mario G. Ordaz S.

  6. Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain & Faculty of Chemical Sciences, Universidad Veracruzana, Poza Rica, Mexico

    Sergio Natan González-Rocha

  7. Earth Sciences Center, Universidad Veracruzana, Xalapa, Mexico

    Carlos M. Welsh-Rodríguez

  8. Faculty of Engineering, Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa, Los Mochis, Mexico

    Héctor E. Rodríguez-Lozoya

  9. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, USA

    Luis Ibarra

  10. Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universidad Veracruzana, Poza Rica, Mexico

    Alejandro García-Elias

  11. Services of Engineering, Tuxpan, Mexico

    Amelia Campos-Rios

Authors
  1. Armando Aguilar-Meléndez
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  2. Lluis G. Pujades
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  3. Josep De la Puente
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  4. Alex H. Barbat
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  8. Héctor E. Rodríguez-Lozoya
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  9. Nieves Lantada
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  11. Alejandro García-Elias
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  12. Amelia Campos-Rios
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Armando Aguilar-Meléndez .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico di Torino, Torino, Italy

    Grazia Brunetta

  2. Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico di Torino, Torino, Italy

    Ombretta Caldarice

  3. SDU Civil and Architectural Engineering, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark

    Nicola Tollin

  4. Sustainability Measurement and Modelling Lab (SUMMLab), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) – Barcelona Tech, Terrassa, Spain

    Marti Rosas-Casals

  5. UNESCO Chair on Sustainability, Technical University of Catalunya, Terrassa, Spain

    Jordi Morató

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Aguilar-Meléndez, A. et al. (2019). Probabilistic Assessment of Seismic Risk of Dwelling Buildings of Barcelona. Implication for the City Resilience. In: Brunetta, G., Caldarice, O., Tollin, N., Rosas-Casals, M., Morató, J. (eds) Urban Resilience for Risk and Adaptation Governance. Resilient Cities. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-76944-8_13

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