Skip to main content

STEP 1: Search

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results
  • 1074 Accesses

Abstract

Model results are input to decision-making. The uncertainty of a model result is the effect of epistemic uncertainties accumulated on the path from the scenario description via the conceptual model to the mathematical model and its parameters. The latter is turned into a numerical model that is encoded and finally applied together with input data to arrive at the model result.

This chapter illustrates the search for the epistemic uncertainties with examples from each of the developmental stages on the path from the scenario description to the model application.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 99.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Hofer, E. (2018). STEP 1: Search. In: The Uncertainty Analysis of Model Results. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-76297-5_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics