Abstract
During the past two decades a considerable academic and professional literature has been devoted to analysing, modelling, and planning development of airports . Some main efforts have been focused on the analysis and forecasting of the airport passenger demand due to many reasons. For example, in the narrower sense, estimation of the current and prospective passenger demand has needed to be reliable and consistent as much as possible in order to be used as the basis for planning and design of the airport passenger complex and landside access modes and their systems. Such requirements will certainly stay in place in the future but under conditions of the increasingly stronger environmental and social constraints in combination with an inherent operational and financial vulnerability of the incumbent airlines and their alliance partners operating at particular (also large) airports . In addition to the reginal, national, and international economic driving forces, the inherent financial vulnerability of the incumbent airlines has been considered as one of the main causes of the short-, medium-, and long-term volatility of airport passenger demand . Usually, such volatility of demand in the short-term is handled operationally by adapting, i.e. more efficient and effective use of the available airport capacity including that of the airport landside access modes and their systems. The medium- and long-term volatility of passenger demand has been much more difficult to handle very often resulting in compromising the efficiency and efficiency of the actors/stakeholders involved—affected airlines and airport (s). (De Neufville 1995). Consequently, the analysis and forecasting of such volatile airport passenger demand should always take into account close relationships between the actors/stakeholders involved, i.e. airport (s) and airlines , in combination with the main external and internal demand -driving forces, different global and national institutional regulations, and the increasingly stricter local environmental (emissions of GHG (greenhouse gases ) and land use) and social (noise , congestion , and safety ) constraints.
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Notes
- 1.
For example, the number of HS (High Speed ) Shinkansen “Nozomi” services (Japan ) during the peak hours has been scheduled to be 10 dep/h.
- 2.
At the regional /intercity conventional and HSR rail system , this time is used for disembarking the incoming passengers and their baggage, cleaning interior of the trains , replenishing water, restock, king victuals, changing the crew, and embarking the outgoing passengers and their baggage. For example, this time is typically about 20 min at most HSR systems. In Japanese HSR system (Shinkansen), it is about 12 min.
- 3.
The Tokaido Shinkansen line /route of the length of 552.6 km connects Tokyo and Shin Osaka station is free of the level crossings. The trains operate at the maximum speed of 270 km/h covering the line /route in 2 h and 25 min. The route/line capacity is: μl = 13 trains /h/direction. The number of passengers carried is about 386 thousand/day and 141 million/year (2011) (JR Central 2012).
- 4.
The “bottleneck ” segment is the one exclusively occupied by a single train for the longest time .
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Janić, M. (2019). Modelling Performances of the Airport Access Modes and Their Systems. In: Landside Accessibility of Airports. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-76150-3_5
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