Abstract
A novel method of time-series analysis, Indicator Waves, is presented in this chapter. One of the limitations of traditional lag-sequence analysis is that multiple concurrent behaviours are difficult to analyse. Indicator Waves, however, allows multiple behaviours at multiple time points to be mapped, predicting the occurrence of a later outcome event. Essentially, the behaviours or events at various time points ‘indicate’ the later occurrence of a target behaviour or event. Indicator Waves applies a similar method and analysis as Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA), and readers will be able to understand the method quickly. A worked example, focusing on sexual assaults, is provided to guide the reader through the method, analyses, and outputs.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsReferences
Bakeman, R., & Gottman, J. M. (1986). Observing behavior: An introduction to sequential analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511527685
Bakeman, R., & Quera, V. (2011). Sequential analysis and observational methods for the behavioral sciences. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139017343.
Cornish, D. B. (1994). The procedural analysis of offending and its relevance for situational prevention. In R. V. Clarke (Ed.), Crime prevention studies (Vol. 3). Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press.
Ekblom, P., & Gill, M. (2016). Rewriting the script: Cross-disciplinary exploration and conceptual consolidation of the procedural analysis of crime. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research, 22(2), 319–339. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10610-015-9291-9
Fossi, J. J., Clarke, D. D., & Lawrence, C. (2005). Bedroom rape: Sequences of sexual behavior in stranger assaults. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 20(11), 1444–1466. https://doi.org/10.1177/0886260505278716
Keatley, D. A., & Clarke, D. D. (2018, June 6–8). Indicator waves: A new method for mapping early warning signs. Paper presented at Measuring Behaviour Conference, Manchester, UK.
Magnusson, M. S., Burgoon, J. K., & Casarrubea, M. (2016). Discovering hidden temporal patterns in behaviour and interaction: T-pattern detection and analysis with THEME. New York: Springer.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 The Author(s)
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Keatley, D. (2018). Indicator Waves. In: Pathways in Crime. Crime Prevention and Security Management. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-75226-6_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-75226-6_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-75225-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-75226-6
eBook Packages: Law and CriminologyLaw and Criminology (R0)