Skip to main content

Rethinking IPCC Expertise from a Multi-actor Perspective

  • Chapter
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Springer Climate ((SPCL))

Abstract

Since the adoption of the United Nations Paris Agreement, scientists have been confronted with a difficult question. The needs for expertise have changed. The Paris Agreement is based on a bottom-up approach that, to be successful, requires extending and reinforcing the existing process for including expertise. Better understanding how the climate system works and its impact on societies remains a priority. However, the real challenge for effective implementation of programs that integrate mitigation and adaptation actions is to operationalize existing knowledge across temporal and spatial scales that take into consideration the realities of a range of actors, at the scale at which they operate. This raises the question of whether the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change can answer these new needs without rethinking part of its organization. That is the issue this chapter explores, based on the experience of the authors, who work together at the interface between science and policy in the framework of the French Association for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR French platform), as a researcher, engineer or public officer in the French administration.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   99.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    The Paris Agreement entered into force on the 30th day after the date on which at least 55 Parties to the Convention (accounting in total for at least an estimated 55% of the total global greenhouse gas emissions) had deposited their instruments of ratification, acceptance, approval or accession with the Depositary. This was reached on 4 November 2016.

  2. 2.

    Vasileiadou et al. (2011) conducted a review of the citation rate of the four IPCC reports in the academic literature. Most citations come from the physical sciences (95%) and only 5% from the social sciences, including 2% from economics and 2% from sociopolitical science. This result directly echoes the under-representation of social sciences in the IPCC (Victor 2015); the few social scientists who at present belong to WGIII and focus on economics and CO2 emission scenarios (Hulme and Mahony 2010).

  3. 3.

    The long-standing international cooperation of research on climate has led to a progressive standardization of the WGI procedures, which has not been the case for WGII and WGIII. WGI also has a clear leadership of the expertise on climate change science, whereas WGII and WGIII have to share their field of expertise with other institutions (e.g. the World Bank or the International Energy Agency).

References

  • Agrawala S (1998a) Context and early origins of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):605–620

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Agrawala S (1998b) Structural and process history of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):621–642

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aykut SC, Dahan A (2015) Gouverner le climat? 20 ans de négociations internationales

    Google Scholar 

  • Aubertin C, Damian M, Magny M, Millier C, Theys J, Treyer S (2015) Introduction. Les enjeux de la conference de Paris. Penser autrement la question climatique. Nat Sci Soc 23(Supp. S3–S5). https://doi.org/10.1051/nss/2015013

  • Beck S (2011) Moving beyond the linear model of expertise? IPCC and the test of adaptation. Reg Environ Change 11(2):297–306

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beck S (2013) Is the IPCC a learning organisation? New approaches to governance and decision-making, 418

    Google Scholar 

  • Beck S, Borie M, Chilvers J, Esguerra A, Heubach K, Hulme M, Nadim T (2014) Towards a reflexive turn in the governance of global environmental expertise. The cases of the IPCC and the IPBES. GAIA Ecol Perspect Sci Soc 23(2):80–87

    Google Scholar 

  • Bjurström A, Polk M (2011) Climate change and interdisciplinarity: a co-citation analysis of IPCC third assessment report. Scientometrics 87(3):525–550

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bodansky D (2001) The history of the global climate change regime. Int Relat Glob Clim Change 23–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Bolin B (2007) A history of the science and politics of climate change. The role of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Burton I, Development Programme United Nations (2005) Adaptation policy frameworks for climate change: developing strategies, policies and measures. In: Lim B (ed) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 258

    Google Scholar 

  • Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Payne AJ (2013) Sea-level rise by 2100. Science 342(6165):1445

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Cody EM, Reagan AJ, Mitchell L, Dodds PS, Danforth CM (2015) Climate change sentiment on Twitter: an unsolicited public opinion poll. arXiv preprint arXiv:1505.03804

  • Cook J, Nuccitelli D, Green SA, Richardson M, Winkler B, Painting R, Skuce A (2013) Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environ Res Lett 8(2):024024

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cooke RM (2015) Messaging climate change uncertainty. Nat Clim Change 5(1):8–10

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Curry J (2011) Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Clim Change 108(4):723–732

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dahan A (2013) Historic overview of climate framing. FMSHWP-2013-39

    Google Scholar 

  • Dahan A, Guillemot H (2015) Les relations entre science et politique dans le régime climatique: à la recherche d’un nouveau modèle d’expertise? Nat Sci Soc (Supp. 3):6–18

    Google Scholar 

  • Demeritt D (2001) The construction of global warming and the politics of science. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 91(2):307–337

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Devès MH (2015) The question of the real: from science to catastrophe. Res Psychoanal 20. 10.3917/rep.020.0107

    Google Scholar 

  • Devès MH, Bourrelier PH, Décamps H, Lang M, Le Bars Y (2014) Examen de la méthodologie d’expertise du GIEC (IPCC) sur le changement climatique. Conseil Scientifique de l’Association Française de Prévention des Catastrophes Naturelles (AFPCN). http://afpcn.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/AFPCN_ExamenGIEC_v12dec2014.pdf

  • Dovers SR, Hezri AA (2010) Institutions and policy processes: the means to the ends of adaptation. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 1(2):212–231

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ebi KL (2011) Differentiating theory from evidence in determining confidence in an assessment finding. Clim Change 108(4):693–700

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ekwurzel B, Frumhoff PC, McCarthy JJ (2011) Climate uncertainties and their discontents: increasing the impact of assessments on public understanding of climate risks and choices. Clim Change 108(4):791–802

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Franz WE (1997) The development of an international agenda for climate change: connecting science to policy. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs discussion paper E-97-07. Cambridge, MA: Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Also International Institute for applied systems analysis interim report IR-97-034/August. Environment and Natural Resources Program

    Google Scholar 

  • Gray I, Venturini T, Baneyx A, Rodighiero D, Baya-Laffite N, Plique G, Ricci D (2013) Mapping IPCC dynamics, Sciences Po, Media Lab. http://www.medialab.sciences-po.fr/ipcc/

  • Hecht AD, Tirpak D (1995) Framework agreement on climate change: a scientific and policy history. Clim Change 29(4):371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hollin GJS, Pearce W (2015) Tension between scientific certainty and meaning complicates communication of IPCC reports. Nat Clim Change 5(8):753

    Google Scholar 

  • Howe PD, Mildenberger M, Marlon JR, Leiserowitz A (2015) Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA. Nat Clim Change 5(6):596–603

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hulme M, Mahony M (2010) Climate change: what do we know about the IPCC? Prog Phys Geogr

    Google Scholar 

  • Hulme M, Zorita E, Stocker TF, Price J, Christy JR (2010) IPCC: cherish it, tweak it or scrap it. Nature 463(11):730–732

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (1990) Report prepared for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change by Working Group I. In: Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Ephraums JJ (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC (2015) IPCC takes decisions on future work, IPCC press release, 27 Feb 2015, 2015/7PR, URL: https://www.ipcc.ch/news_and_events/docs/p41/P41_closing_press_release.pdf

  • IPCC (2016) IPCC—Special report on 1.5 degrees. Retrieved from http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/

  • Jasanoff S, Lynch M, Miller C, Wynne B, Buttel F, Charvolin F, Lambright WH (1998) Science and decision making

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones N (2013) Climate assessments: 25 years of the IPCC. Nature 501:298–299

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Maslin M (2013) Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications for policy. Geographical J 179(3):264–271

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, Van Vuuren DP, Meehl GA (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463(7282):747–756

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Oppenheimer M, O’Neill BC, Webster M, Agrawala S (2008) The limits of consensus. Science 123

    Google Scholar 

  • Oreskes N (2004) The scientific consensus on climate change. Science 306(5702):1686

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Paris Agreement, UNFCCC (2015) Retrieved from http://unfccc.int/paris_agreement/items/9485.php

  • Pielke R Jr (2005) Misdefining “climate change”: consequences for science and action. Environ Sci Policy 8(6):548–561

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pielke R Jr (2010) The climate fix: what scientists and politicians won’t tell you about global warming. Basic Books, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarewitz D (2011) Does climate change knowledge really matter? Clim Change 2(4):475–481

    Google Scholar 

  • Schiermeier Q (2010a) IPCC signs up for reform. Nature 467(7318):891–892

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Schiermeier Q (2010b) IPCC flooded by criticism. Nature 463(7281):596–597

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Schiermeier Q (2014) IPCC report under fire. Nature 508(7496):298

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Schrope M (2001) Consensus science, or consensus politics? Nature 412(6843):112–114

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Shapiro HT, Diab R, de Brito Cruz CH, Cropper ML, Fang J, Fresco LO, Manabe S, Mehta G, Molina M, Williams P, Winacker EL (eds) (2010) Climate change assessments: review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC. InterAcademy Council, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Skodvin T (2000) The development of an international regime on a human-induced climate change. In: Structure and agent in the scientific diplomacy of climate change. Springer Netherlands, The Netherlands, pp 93–103

    Google Scholar 

  • Stocker TF, Plattner GK (2014) Climate policy: rethink IPCC reports. Nature 513:163–165

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Tol RS (2011) Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC. Clim Change 108(4):827–839

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tollefson J (2013) Study aims to put IPCC under a lens. Nature 502:281

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Vasileiadoua E, Heimeriks G, Petersen AC (2011) Exploring the impact of the IPCC assessment reports on science. Environ Sci Policy 14(8):1052–1061

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Victor DG (2015) Embed the social sciences in climate policy. Nature, 520(April):27–29

    Google Scholar 

  • Wible B (2014) IPCC lessons from Berlin. Science 345(6192):34

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zillman JW (2009) Historique des activités climatologiques. Bull de l’OMM 58(3):141

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to the French Association for Disaster Risk Reduction, which facilitated interviews and seminars held during the preparation of this article (http://afpcn.org/). We are also thankful to those who agreed to be interviewed and/or to participate during AFPCN study days. We also thank the organizing committee fellows.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Maud H. Devès .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Devès, M.H., Lang, M., Bourrelier, PH., Valérian, F. (2018). Rethinking IPCC Expertise from a Multi-actor Perspective. In: Serrao-Neumann, S., Coudrain, A., Coulter, L. (eds) Communicating Climate Change Information for Decision-Making. Springer Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74669-2_4

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics