Skip to main content

Statistical Inferences with Specification Tests

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Empirical Asset Pricing Models
  • 713 Accesses

Abstract

The author discusses the methodologies that are currently applied to empirical asset pricing models on asset returns, including up-to-date coverage on theoretical setting and model specification tests. For instance, factor analysis and (asymptotic) principal component analysis are provided for searching for these pricing cores or kernels of asset returns. Unfortunately, these earlier studies incur the difficulty of observability of these factors and of (economic) interpretation of the principal components. In essence, the application of multi-factor asset pricing models with observed/presumed factors becomes an alternative in the search for the systematic components of asset returns.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 139.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Since x is an n-dimensional vector, the moment condition is applied to each element of the vector. The same assumption holds for the price vector q as well.

  2. 2.

    The time subscript is suppressed for simplicity of expression.

  3. 3.

    The time sub-index is suppressed for simplicity.

  4. 4.

    Later work in Shanken and Zhou (2007) relaxes the assumption of correct specification of factor premiums by introducing a residual or pricing error in the expected returns. However, the analysis is still based on the correct identification of factor structure.

  5. 5.

    In fact, this setting is identical to Chamberlain and Rothschild (1983) and Ingersoll (1984) in approximate factor structure.

  6. 6.

    Notice that the notation “−” does not necessarily mean there are negative infinite observations. It only depicts the possible initial observations of cross-sectional idiosyncratic risk that are distant from the present collections.

  7. 7.

    Implicitly, their work assumes that the \(\frac {T}{2}\) is an integer already so that the inter-temporal differences are always feasible.

  8. 8.

    This condition is to ensure that asymptotic variance of the cumulative sum of these squared idiosyncratic risks exists and is finite under the null hypothesis.

References

  • Aldous, D. 1989. Probability Approximation via the Poisson Clumping Heuristic. New York: Springer.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Andrews, D.W.K. 1991. Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation. Econometrica 59: 817–858.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Back, K. 2010. Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, F., M.C. Jensen, and M. Scholes. 1972. The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Some Empirical Tests. In Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets, 79–121. New York: Praeger.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bollerslev, T., R. Engle, and J. Wooldridge. 1988. A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances. Journal of Political Economy 96: 116–131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burnside, C. 1994. Hansen-Jagannathan Bound as Classical Tests of Asset-Pricing Models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 12: 57–79.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chamberlain, G., and M. Rothschild. 1983. Arbitrage, Factor Structure, and Mean-Variance Analysis on Large Asset Markets. Econometrica 51: 1281–1304.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Connor, G., and R. Korajczyk. 1993. A Test for the Number of Factors in an Approximate Factor Model. Journal of Finance 48: 1263–1291.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E.F., and K.R. French. 1993. Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics 25: 23–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fama, E.F., and J.D. MacBeth. 1973. Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests. Journal of Political Economy 81: 607–636.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ferson, W.E., and A.F. Siegel. 2001. The Efficient Use of Conditional Information in Portfolios. Journal of Finance 56: 967–982.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ferson, W.E., and A.F. Siegel. 2003. Stochastic Discount Factor Bounds with Conditioning Information. Review of Financial Studies 16: 567–595.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gallant, A.R., L.P. Hansen, and G. Tauchen. 1990. Using Conditional Moments of Asset Payoffs to Infer the Volatility of Intertemporal Marginal Rate of Substitution. Journal of Econometrics 45: 141–179.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goyal, A., and I. Welch. 2003. Predicting the Equity Premium with Dividend Ratios. Management Science 49: 639–654.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P., and R. Jagannathan. 1991. Implications of Security Market Data for Models of Dynamic Economies. Journal of Political Economy 99: 225–262.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ingersoll, J. 1984. Some Results in the Theory of Arbitrage Pricing. Journal of Finance 39: 1021–1039.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jagannathan, R., and Z. Wang. 1996. The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns. Journal of Finance 51: 3–53.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jagannathan, R., and Z. Wang. 1998. An Asymptotic Theory for Estimating Beta-Pricing Models using Cross-Sectional Regression. Journal of Finance 53: 1285–1309.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jagannathan, R., and Z. Wang. 2002. Empirical Evaluation of Asset-Pricing Models: A Comparison of the SDF and Beta Methods. Journal of Finance 57: 2337–2367.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kan, R., and C. Robotti. 2009. Model Comparison Using Hansen-Jagnnathan Distance. Review of Financial Studies 22: 3449–3490.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kan, R., and G. Zhou. 1999. A Critique of the Stochastic Discount Factor Methodology. Journal of Finance 54: 1221–1248.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kan, R., and G. Zhou. 2006. A New Variance Bound on the Stochastic Discount Factor. Journal of Business 79: 941–961.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lawrenz, J. 2013. Time-Series Properties of the Dividend-Price Ratio with Social Dynamics. Applied Economics 45: 569–579.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewellen, J., S. Nagel, and J. Shanken. 2010. A Skeptical Appraisal of Asset Pricing Tests. Journal of Financial Economics 96: 175–194.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lo, A.W., and A.C. MacKinlay. 1990. Data Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models. Review of Financial Studies 3: 431–467.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Newey, W.K., and K.D. West. 1987. A Simple Positive Semi-Definite Heteroske- dasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix. Econometrica 55: 703–708.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Onatski, A. 2009. Testing Hypotheses About the Number of Factors in Large Factor Models. Econometrica 77: 1447–1479.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Onatski, A. 2010. Determining the Number of Factors from Empirical Distribution of Eigenvalues. The Review of Economics and Statistics 92: 1004–1016.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shanken, J. 1992. On the Estimation of Beta-Pricing Models. Review of Financial Studies 5: 1–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shanken, J., and G. Zhou. 2007. Estimating and Testing Beta Pricing Models: Alternative Methods and Their Performance in Simulations. Journal of Financial Economics 84: 40–86.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tinic, S.M., and R.R. West. 1986. Risk, Return and Equilibrium: A Revisit. Journal of Political Economy 94: 126–147.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yang, S.S. 1977. General Distribution Theory of the Concomitants of Order Statistics. Annals of Statistics 5: 996–1002.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Jeng, JL. (2018). Statistical Inferences with Specification Tests. In: Empirical Asset Pricing Models. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74192-5_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74192-5_2

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-74191-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-74192-5

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics