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Detecting Change-Points in the Time Series of Surfaces Occupied by Pre-defined NDVI Categories in Continental Spain from 1981 to 2015

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The Mathematics of the Uncertain

Part of the book series: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ((SSDC,volume 142))

Abstract

The free access to satellite images since more than 40 years ago has provoked a rapid increase of multitemporal derived information of remote sensing data that should be summarized and analyzed for future inferences. In particular, the study of trends and trend changes is of crucial interest in many studies of phenology, climatology, agriculture, hydrology, geology or many other environmental disciplines. Overall, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), as a satellite derived variable, plays a crucial role because of its usefulness for vegetation and landscape characterization, land use and land cover mapping, environmental monitoring, climate change or crop prediction models. Since the eighties, it can be retrieved all over the world from different satellites. In this work we propose to analyze its temporal evolution, looking for breakpoints or change-points in trends of the surfaces occupied by four NDVI classifications made in Spain from 1981 to 2015. The results show a decrease of bare soils and semi-bare soils starting in the middle nineties or before, and a slight increase of middle-vegetation and high-vegetation soils starting in 1990 and 2000 respectively.

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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry, and Competitiveness (project MTM2017-82553-R) jointly financed with the European Regional Development Fund (FEDER), the Government of Navarre (PI015-2016 and PI043-2017 projects) and the Fundación CAN-Obra Social Caixa 2016.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Statistics and O.R., Public University of Navarre, 31006, Pamplona, Spain

    Ana F. Militino, M. Dolores Ugarte & Unai Pérez-Goya

  2. InaMat (Institute for Advanced Materials), Public University of Navarre, 31006, Pamplona, Spain

    Ana F. Militino & M. Dolores Ugarte

Authors
  1. Ana F. Militino
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  2. M. Dolores Ugarte
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  3. Unai Pérez-Goya
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ana F. Militino .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Liberbank, Oviedo, Spain

    Eduardo Gil

  2. Viajes El Corte Inglés, Oviedo, Spain

    Eva Gil

  3. Funl Media, Oxford, United Kingdom

    Juan Gil

  4. Departamento de Estadística e Investigación Operativa y Didáctica de la Matemática, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Oviedo, Oviedo, Spain

    María Ángeles Gil

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Militino, A.F., Ugarte, M.D., Pérez-Goya, U. (2018). Detecting Change-Points in the Time Series of Surfaces Occupied by Pre-defined NDVI Categories in Continental Spain from 1981 to 2015. In: Gil, E., Gil, E., Gil, J., Gil, M. (eds) The Mathematics of the Uncertain. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 142. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-73848-2_28

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-73848-2_28

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-73847-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-73848-2

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