Energy Perspective 2030 for Ukraine in the Context of the EU Integration

  • Oleksandr Chernyak
  • Ganna Kharlamova
  • Andriy Stavytskyy
Conference paper
Part of the Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics book series (SPBE)


Today there is no state that can be sure in its energy security. States and its citizens are constantly faced with new threats. The layout of the article is as follows: Section 10.1 describes the introduction to the problem, highlighting the scope and agenda of the energy security study. Section 10.2 describes the concept of the energy security for Ukraine, current trends, and calculative assessments available in the world and considers the position of Ukraine in the World Energy Council (WEC) index in details. Section 10.3s provides expert scenario forecasting of the balance of electricity in Ukraine up to 2030 with regard to world megatrends and EU integration of the state. Comparison assessment of the international risk index for energy security of EU states and Ukraine is presented. Section 10.4 provides the VAR modeling and impulse analysis of Ukraine’s energy security to resource shocks. Those are followed by short conclusion and discussion. Results of this paper have a few policy implications for the energy strategies of Ukraine and the EU. First of all, it is a high time to review the energy policy in the aspect of the energy security adequate assessment and forecasting. It is also necessary to improve the Ukrainian legislation in the field of energy efficiency, in particular regarding the use of renewable energy sources (RES) in Ukraine, according to optimistic scenario of the development.


Energy security Ukraine Assessment EU 



Paper is done in the framework of scientific faculty research 16КФ040-04 “Steady state security assessment: a new framework for analysis” (2016–2018).


  1. Burstein, P., Laumann, E., Knoke, D.: The organizational state: social choice in national policy domains. Soc. Forces. 69(1), 289–290 (1990). Google Scholar
  2. Cherp, A., Jewell, J.: The concept of energy security: beyond the four As. Energy Policy. 75, 415–421 (2014). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. Ciută, F.: Conceptual notes on energy security: total or banal security? Secur. Dialogue. 41, 123–144 (2010). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. Dziadykevych, I.: The directions in increasing energy security of Ukraine. Adv. Sci. J. 9, 123–127 (2014). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Dziadykevych, I.: The Cooperation of Ukraine with the European Union – the key to energy security. Adv. Sci. J. 1, 106–110 (2015). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  6. Energy Strategy of Ukraine towards 2030.: (2006)
  7. Energy Strategy of Ukraine towards 2035.: (2016)
  8. Ibrahim, H., Ilinca, A., Perron, J.: Energy storage systems – characteristics and comparisons. Renew. Sust. Energ. Rev. 12, 1221–1250 (2008). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  9. Kharlamova, G.: An ecological-economic convergence: transition to sustainable energy. Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv Economics. 9(150), 44–49 (2013). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  10. Kharlamova, G.: The energy component of the environmental security: Ukraine in the mirror. Bulletin of Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv Economics. 1(166), 72–79 (2015). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  11. Kharlamova, G., Nate, S., Chernyak, O.: Renewable energy and security for Ukraine: challenge or smart way? J. Int. Stud. 9(1), 88–115 (2016). Google Scholar
  12. Khomenko, O.: Energy trilateral index: is Ukraine energy efficient? (2016)
  13. Kiss, P.: Hungary-Ukraine Energy Cooperation and its contribution to the security of supply in the European Union. Energy Environ. 19, 1155–1160 (2008). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  14. Kulyk, M., Malyarenko, O., Maystrenko, N., et al.: Application of the method of complex forecasting for the determination of long-term demand for energy resources. Probl. Gen. Energy. 1(48), 5–15 (2017). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  15. Large Energy User Group Index Scores and Rankings (1980–2014): Edition final (2016)Google Scholar
  16. Łucka, I.: Economic and environmental aspects of renewable energy. Econ. Soc. 3, 119–140 (2010). Google Scholar
  17. Showstack, R.: Experts examine Ukraine energy security needs. EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union. 95, 254–255 (2014). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  18. Sovacool, B.: Energy security: challenges and needs. Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Energy Environ. 1, 51–59 (2012). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  19. State Statistical Agency of Ukraine. Energy.: (2017)
  20. Stavytskyy, A., Sadovenko, O.: Analysis and modeling of social security index in Ukraine, Lithuania and Scandinavian countries. Economika. 92(4), 37–53 (2013)Google Scholar
  21. Wallace, W.: The retreat of the state: the diffusion of power in the world economy. Int. Aff. 73, 573–573 (1997). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  22. Winzer, C.: Conceptualizing energy security. Energy Policy. 46, 36–48 (2012). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  23. World Energy Council official web site.:!/countryprofile?country=Ukraine&year=2016. Energy profile 2016 of Ukraine (2016)
  24. Yergin, D.: Ensuring energy security. Foreign Aff. 85(2), 69–82 (2006). CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  25. Yermilov, S.: Energy strategy of Ukraine to 2030: problematic issues of content and implementation. Zerkalo nedeli 20 (2006)Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Oleksandr Chernyak
    • 1
  • Ganna Kharlamova
    • 1
  • Andriy Stavytskyy
    • 1
  1. 1.Taras Shevchenko National University of KyivKyivUkraine

Personalised recommendations