Energy Perspective 2030 for Ukraine in the Context of the EU Integration

  • Oleksandr Chernyak
  • Ganna Kharlamova
  • Andriy Stavytskyy
Conference paper
Part of the Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics book series (SPBE)

Abstract

Today there is no state that can be sure in its energy security. States and its citizens are constantly faced with new threats. The layout of the article is as follows: Section 10.1 describes the introduction to the problem, highlighting the scope and agenda of the energy security study. Section 10.2 describes the concept of the energy security for Ukraine, current trends, and calculative assessments available in the world and considers the position of Ukraine in the World Energy Council (WEC) index in details. Section 10.3s provides expert scenario forecasting of the balance of electricity in Ukraine up to 2030 with regard to world megatrends and EU integration of the state. Comparison assessment of the international risk index for energy security of EU states and Ukraine is presented. Section 10.4 provides the VAR modeling and impulse analysis of Ukraine’s energy security to resource shocks. Those are followed by short conclusion and discussion. Results of this paper have a few policy implications for the energy strategies of Ukraine and the EU. First of all, it is a high time to review the energy policy in the aspect of the energy security adequate assessment and forecasting. It is also necessary to improve the Ukrainian legislation in the field of energy efficiency, in particular regarding the use of renewable energy sources (RES) in Ukraine, according to optimistic scenario of the development.

Keywords

Energy security Ukraine Assessment EU 

Notes

Acknowledgments

Paper is done in the framework of scientific faculty research 16КФ040-04 “Steady state security assessment: a new framework for analysis” (2016–2018).

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Oleksandr Chernyak
    • 1
  • Ganna Kharlamova
    • 1
  • Andriy Stavytskyy
    • 1
  1. 1.Taras Shevchenko National University of KyivKyivUkraine

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