Abstract
People’s movement is at the forefront of current policy debates across several main migrant destinations. This includes traditional destinations such as North America and Europe but also emerging ones such as the Gulf region. This chapter summarizes the state of migration and remittance flows in the Gulf region. Specifically, we discuss the time series characteristics of remittance outflows from the GCC countries. Further, this chapter uses new data on remittance transfer costs to shed light on the different mechanisms of remitting focusing on money transfers to South Asian countries. Finally, the chapter discusses current policy debates related to remittance flows with practical suggestions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
Most jobs were available in the construction sector which was mainly covered by workers from India and Pakistan . South Asian workers are also more likely to take on certain jobs with less than ideal working conditions. See Naufal (2015) for more details.
- 2.
To cite an example, see Khadria (2008) which details the economic and social consequences of migration to the Gulf on the State of Kerala in India.
- 3.
This classification is done in accordance to the World Bank , which defines the high-income economies as countries/regions with a GNI (GNP) per capita of $12,476 or more in the 2017 fiscal year. (https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519).
- 4.
- 5.
The sending countries in our sample are Kuwait , Qatar , Saudi Arabia , and the UAE. The recipient countries are Bangladesh , India , Nepal , Pakistan , and Sri Lanka . The specific column we use is “cc1 total cost%.”
- 6.
A tiny portion of all transfers is listed as “door to door,” which we think also points to a variation of the hawala system.
- 7.
There are missing data in some quarters in the early portions of the data which we chose not to extrapolate. This leads to disjoint lines in this segment of data in the graph.
- 8.
- 9.
This economy has its currency pegged to a foreign currency. Thus, it must follow the policy changes in that foreign currency. Because most policy changes are in the form of interest rates, especially in the US to which GCC countries have pegged their currencies, we study the impact of interest rate changes abroad on the remittance sending small open economy such as the GCC. Although we discuss interest rate declines, an opposite movement in interest rates is readily inferable.
References
Almukhtar, Genc, I., & Naufal, G. (2017). Fiscal Multipliers and Remittance Outflows in Saudi Arabia (Working Paper). Sharjah: Department of Economics, American University of Sharjah.
Ben-David, D., Lumsdaine, R., & Papell, D. H. (2003). Unit Root, Postwar Slowdowns and Long-Run Growth: Evidence from Two Structural Breaks. Empirical Economics, 28(2), 303–319.
Clemente, J., Montańes, A., & Reyes, M. (1998). Testing for a Unit Root in Variables with a Double Change in the Mean. Economics Letters, 59, 175–182.
Enders, W. (2004). Applied Econometric Time Series. New York: John Willey and Sons.
Genc, I. H., & Arzaghi, M. (2011). A Confidence Interval Test for the Detection of Structural Breaks. Journal of the Franklin Institute, 348(7), 1615–1626.
Genc, I., Naufal, G., & AbuAl-Foul, B. (2014). Chapter 11 – Female Labor Force Participation in Islamic Countries. In M. K. Hassan & M. K. Lewis (Eds.), Handbook on Islam and Economic Life. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Glynn, J., Nelson, P., & Reetu, V. (2007). Unit Root Tests and Structural Breaks: A Survey with Applications. Revista De Metodos Cuntitativos para La Econofa La Empresa, 3, 63–79.
International Labor Organization (ILO). (2015). Table R1. Labour Force Participation Rate (ILO Estimates and Projections; by Sex and Age Group). In Key Indicators of the Labour Market (KILM). Available at http://www.ilo.org/ilostat. Accessed 24 Sept 2016.
Khadria, B. (2008). India: Skilled Migration to Developed Countries, Labour Migration to the Gulf Countries. In S. Castles & R. D. Wise (Eds.), Migration and Development: Perspectives from the South. Geneva: International Organization for Migration.
Lumsdaine, R., & Papell, D. H. (1997). Multiple Trend Breaks and the Unit-Root Hypothesis. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(2), 212–218.
Naufal, G. (2015). The Economics of Migration in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries. In B. R. Chiswick & P. W. Miller (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of International Immigration. Amsterdam: Elsevier B.V.
Naufal, G., & Genc, I. (2012). Expats and the Labor Force: The Story of the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Naufal, G., & Genc, I. H. (2013). The Proposed Tax on Remittances Will Drive Flows Underground. People Move: A Blog About Migration, Remittances, and Development. Posted on October 31, 2013. The Blog Is Hosted by Dilip Ratha, Lead Economist at the World Bank. Available on http://blogs.worldbank.org/peoplemove/archive/201310
Perron, P., & Vogelsang, T. J. (1992). Nonstationarity and Level Shifts with an Application to Purchasing Power Parity. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(3), 301–317.
Ratha, D., De, S., & Schuettler, K. (2017). Why Taxing Remittances Is a Bad Idea. People Move: A Blog About Migration, Remittances, and Development. Posted on March 24, 2017. The Blog Is Hosted by Dilip Ratha, Lead Economist at the World Bank. Available on http://blogs.worldbank.org/peoplemove/why-taxing-remittances-bad-idea
Shrestha, M. B., & Chowdhury, K. (2005). A Sequential Procedure for Testing Unit Roots in the Presence of Structural Break in Time Series Data: An Application to Quarterly Data of Nepal. Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, 2(2), 31–46.
Termos, A., Naufal, G., & Genc, I. (2013). Remittance Outflows and Inflation: The Case of the GCC Countries. Economics Letters, 120(1), 45–47.
Termos, A., Genc, I., & Naufal, G. (2016, May). A Tacit Monetary Policy of the Gulf Countries: Is There a Remittances Channel? Review of Development Economics, 20(2), 599–610. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12249. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/rode.2016.20.issue-2/issuetoc. Also IZA Discussion Paper No. 8810, available at http://ftp.iza.org/dp8810.pdf
The World Bank. (2016, December). Remittance Prices Worldwide, Issue: 20.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Genc, I.H., Naufal, G. (2018). Outward Remittances from the Gulf. In: Chowdhury, M., Irudaya Rajan, S. (eds) South Asian Migration in the Gulf. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71821-7_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71821-7_8
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-71820-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-71821-7
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)