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Africa: Kenya, South Africa, Botswana

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The Climate Change Crisis

Abstract

Africa is the continent most challenged by climate change and the poorest region in the world. The burdens of climate change, as noted by the IPCC, fall hardest on the developing world. Due to high rates of poverty, development challenges and limited governmental budgets in many cases, the challenges for Africa are immense. The landlocked nation of Botswana along with Kenya and South Africa are profiled in this chapter with riveting up to date information and cases studies. The high poverty rate in Botswana will be a challenge in addressing corrective and preventative action to forestall the worst effects of climate change. The high population engaged in rural farming (70%) exposes hundreds of thousands of citizens to income and crop instability due to extreme heat, water scarcity and drought. Conversely, Kenya and South Africa are primarily challenged by serious coastal flooding that will accelerate in the twenty-first century. These countries, with large pockets of poverty and regional drought challenges, will also face serious socio-economic and health complications. The growing climate refugee crisis will be evident in several African countries, thus propelling massive migration.

“Treat the earth well; it was not given to you by your parents; it was loaned to you by your children.”

Kenyan Proverb

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Notes

  1. 1.

    IPCC, 2014.

  2. 2.

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  4. 4.

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    CRED, 2016 (generated from EM-DAT table on disaster subgroups, Kenya).

  6. 6.

    “Climate: Observations, projections and impacts, Kenya” Met Office, United Kingdom, www.metoffice.gov.uk, 2011.

  7. 7.

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  8. 8.

    Mateshe, 2011; Government of Kenya, 2010.

  9. 9.

    CRED, 2016.

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    IPCC (2014). Niang, I., O.C. Ruppel, M.A. Abdrabo, A. Essel, C. Lennard, J. Padgham, and P. Urquhart (2014). Africa. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Part B: Regional Aspects, Chapter 22 (Africa). Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. pp. 1199–1265.

  15. 15.

    “Climate: Observations, projections and impacts, Kenya” Met Office, United Kingdom, www.metoffice.gov.uk 2011.

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    Scholtz, M., McManus, C., Leeuw, K., Louvandini, H., Seixas, L., Melo, C., Theunissen, A. and Neser, F. (2013) The effect of global warming on beef production in developing countries of the southern hemisphere. Natural Science, 5, 106–119.

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    Ifejika Speranza, C. (2010) Drought Coping and Adaptation Strategies: Understanding Adaptations to Climate Change in Agro-pastoral Livestock Production in Makueni District, Kenya. Eur. J. Dev. Res., 22, 623–642.

  21. 21.

    CRED, 2016.

  22. 22.

    IDMC, 2014c:4.

  23. 23.

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  24. 24.

    World Bank, Report No: AUS8099, Republic of Kenya, Kenya Urbanization Review. February 2016.

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    Awuor, C.B., Orindi, V.A. and Adwera, A.O. (2008). Climate change and coastal cities: the case of Mombasa, Kenya. Environment and Urbanization, 20(1), 231–242.

  26. 26.

    IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007), Working Group 1: The Physical Science Basis, Chapter 11, Figure 11.1.

  27. 27.

    “A Perspective on Sea Level Rise and Coastal Storm Surge from Southern and Eastern Africa: A Case Study Near Durban, South Africa” Andrew A. Mather and Derek D. Stretch, 2012. www.mdpi.com/journal/water.

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    Brown, S., Kebede, A.S. and Nicholls, R.J. (2011). Sea-Level Rise and Impacts in Africa, 2000 to 2100. University of Southampton, UK, 215 pp.

  29. 29.

    Ibid.

  30. 30.

    IPCC AR5.

  31. 31.

    DEA (Department of Environmental Affairs). 2013. Long-Term Adaptation Scenarios Flagship Research Programme (LTAS) for South Africa. Climate Trends and Scenarios for South Africa. Pretoria, South Africa.

  32. 32.

    Ibid.

  33. 33.

    Environmental Affairs Department: Republic of South Africa, “National Climate Change Response White Paper,” 2011.

  34. 34.

    Ibid.

  35. 35.

    Environmental Affairs Department: Republic of South Africa, “National Climate Change Response White Paper,” 2011.

  36. 36.

    “The impact of the current drought on the South African economy,” Paul Makube, Senior Agricultural Economist at FNB, 2011.

  37. 37.

    Ibid.

  38. 38.

    Environmental Affairs Department: Republic of South Africa, “National Climate Change Response White Paper,” 2011.

  39. 39.

    Mumura, Nobuo. “Sea-Level Rise Caused by Climate Change and Its Implications for Society.” Editor, Kiyoshi Horikawa. Proceedings of the Japan Academy. Series B, Physical and Biological Sciences 89.7 (2013): 281–301. PMC. Web. 24 Apr. 2017.

  40. 40.

    Liz Heimann, “Climate Change and Natural Disasters Displace Millions, Affect Migration Flows” Issue # 7, Migration Policy Institute, MPI, December 10, 2015.

  41. 41.

    UNFCCC, “Botswana Intended Nationally Determined Contribution” http://www4.unfccc.int/ndcregistry/PublishedDocuments/Botswana%20First/BOTSWANA.pdf.

  42. 42.

    “Emergency Plan of Action (EPoA) Botswana: Floods” International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, March 11, 2017.

  43. 43.

    IPCC AR5.

  44. 44.

    ‘Climate Change and Variability in Semiarid Palapye, Eastern Botswana: An Assessment from Smallholder Farmers’ Perspective’ Felicia O. Akinyemi, American Meteorological Society (AMS) 2017.

  45. 45.

    Working Group 1 (WG1) of the 5th Assessment Report (AR5) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

  46. 46.

    African Development Bank, The Government of Botswana, Department of Agriculture and Agro-Industry, “Wastewater Reuse and Water Harvesting for Irrigation Study—Request for Technical Assistance Fund for Middle Income Countries” September 2011.

  47. 47.

    UNFCCC, “Botswana Intended Nationally Determined Contribution” http://www4.unfccc.int/ndcregistry/PublishedDocuments/Botswana%20First/BOTSWANA.pdf.

  48. 48.

    Guha-Sapir et al., 2004; Sida, 2008, Sida Arbetspapper: PD2 Botswana 2008-03-26.

  49. 49.

    “Wealth Accounting and the Valuation of Ecosystem Services” (WAVES) Country Report 2016 Botswana, June 2016.

  50. 50.

    Climate and Health Country Profile—2015, Botswana. World Health Organization, UNFCCC, 2015.

  51. 51.

    Ibid.

  52. 52.

    Botswana INDC, 2015.

  53. 53.

    Liz Heimann, Issue #7: “Climate Change and Natural Disasters Displace Millions, Affect Migration Flows” Migration Policy Institute, MPI, December 10, 2015.

  54. 54.

    William G. Moseley, “Agriculture on the Brink: Climate Change, Labor and Smallholder Farming in Botswana” MDPI, 27 June 2016.

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Pink, R.M. (2018). Africa: Kenya, South Africa, Botswana. In: The Climate Change Crisis. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71033-4_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71033-4_6

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