Abstract
Over the last decades, the European Union (EU) member states have been subject to intensive globalization and international competition, a fact that poses both challenges and opportunities. Additionally, the recent global financial crisis implied a fall in output across economies that was accompanied by a severe contraction in international trade. As a result, countries and firms have had to adjust and actively participate in this new market environment. This paper examines the export dynamics of four Balkan EU member states over the period 1999–2014. The results revealed that there is a tendency for an increase in exports, that persistent trade deficits have decreased since 2008 and that the share of high and medium-high technology manufactured goods has increased, particularly in the case of Romania. The results also indicate some specificities of export performance of Greece, Croatia and Bulgaria, which have had a trade surplus for services throughout the period, suggesting the importance of the tourism sector. We further discuss the main factor that could contribute to enhancing the competitiveness of European countries. Higher foreign demand is found to lead to more exports as is a depreciation in the real foreign exchange rate, although price and income elasticities vary across studies and according to the estimation technique adopted. The evidence also suggests that non-price factors (such as quality, variety, innovation and institutions) are value drivers of exports.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
- 2.
In January 2007, Bulgaria and Romania joined EU and in July 2013, Croatia. Greece joined EU in 1981 and is an EMU member since 2001.
- 3.
For a discussion of advantages and shortcomings of each deflator for the measurement of a country’s external competitiveness, see Giordano and Zollino (2015).
References
Algieri, B. (2011). Modelling export equations using an unobserved component model: The case of the euro area and its competitors. Empirical Economics, 41(3), 593–637.
Algieri, B. (2014). Drivers of export demand: A focus on the GIIPS countries. World Economy, 37(10), 1454–1482.
Bayoumi, T., et al. (2011). Euro area export performance and competitiveness (Strategy, Policy and Review Department IMF Working Paper, No. 140).
Briggs, K. (2013). Institutional quality as a barrier to trade. Applied Economics Letters, 20(16), 1453–1458.
Chen, R., et al. (2013). External imbalances in the eurozone. Economic Policy, 28(73), 101–142.
Cheptea, A., et al. (2014). European export performance. Review of World Economics, 150(1), 25–58.
Christodoulopoulou, S., & Tkačevs, O. (2014). Measuring the effectiveness of cost and price competitiveness in external rebalancing of euro area countries: What do alternative HCIS tell us? (European Central Bank Working Paper Series, No 1736).
Esteves, P., & Rua, A. (2015). Is there a role for domestic demand pressure on export performance? Empirical Economics, 49(4), 1173–1189.
European Central Bank (BCE). (2012). Competitiveness and external imbalances within the euro area (European Central Bank Occasional Paper Series, No. 139).
European Central Bank (ECB). (2005). Competitiveness and the export performance of the euro area (European Central Bank Occasional Paper, No. 30).
Giordano, C., & Zollino, F. (2015). Exploring price and non-price determinants of trade flows in the largest euro-area countries (European Central Bank Working Paper, No. 1789).
Goldstein, M., & Khan, M. S. (1985). Income and price effects in foreign trade. In Handbook of international economics (Vol. 2, pp. 1041–1105). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Gouveia, S. (2014). Business cycle correlation between the euro area and the Balkan countries. International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research, 7(1), 33–49.
Grossman, G., & Helpman, E. (1995). Technology and trade. In G. Grossman & K. Rogoff (Eds.), Handbook of international economics (Vol. 3). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
Hallaf, J., & Schott, P. (2011). Estimating cross-country differences in product quality. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126, 417–474.
Kenen, P. (1969). The theory of optimum currency areas: An eclectic view. In R. Mundell & A. Swoboda (Eds.), Monetary problems of the international economy (pp. 41–60). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Krugman, P. (1983). New theories of trade among industrial countries. American Economic Review, 73(2), 343–347.
Krugman, P. (1989). Differences in income elasticities and trends in real exchange rates. European Economic Review, 33(5), 1031–1054.
Malhotra, N., & Pinky. (2012). Growth, structure and instability of India’s exports. Journal of International Economics, 3(2), 57–72.
McKinnon, R. (1963). Optimum currency areas. The American Economic Review, 53(4), 717–725.
Mundell, R. (1961). A theory of optimum currency areas. The American Economic Review, 51(4), 657–665.
Ostry, J., & Rose, A. (1992). An empirical evaluation of the macroeconomic effects of tariffs. Journal of International Money and Finance, 11(1), 63–79.
Rose, A. (1991). The role of exchange rates in a popular model of international trade: Does the ‘Marshall-Lerner’ condition hold? Journal of International Economics, 30(3–4), 301–316.
Sertić, M., et al. (2015). Determinants of manufacturing industry exports in European Union member states: A panel data analysis. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 28(1), 384–397.
Verheyen, F. (2015). The role of non-price determinants for export demand. International Economics and Economic Policy, 12(1), 107–125.
Wierts, P., et al. (2014). Composition of exports and export performance of eurozone countries. Journal of Common Market Studies, 52(4), 928–941.
Acknowledgement
This work is supported by European Structural and Investment Funds in the FEDER component, through the Operational Competitiveness and Internationalization Programme (COMPETE 2020) [Project No. 006971 (UID/SOC/04011)], and national funds, through the FCT—Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology under the project UID/SOC/04011/2013.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature
About this paper
Cite this paper
Gouveia, S., Santos, M. (2018). Export Performance of Southeastern European Countries. In: Karasavvoglou, A., Goić, S., Polychronidou, P., Delias, P. (eds) Economy, Finance and Business in Southeastern and Central Europe. Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70377-0_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70377-0_14
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70376-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70377-0
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)