Abstract
To make a real difference for our thirsty planet, we establish the water demand-supply model and the Advanced Water Poverty Index (AWPI). First, we develop a dynamic demand-supply model to measure the ability of a region to satisfy its water consumption. On the demand side, we fit agricultural and industrial water needs by the Grey Verhulst prediction model, then we consider domestic needs through the Logistic Growth model of total population and the Regression model of residential needs per capita. On the supply side, we estimate the impacts of multiple factors such as utilized internal river and rainfall, desalinated seawater and purified sewage. In the experiments, we use the sensor data from the World Bank. Also, the stability of our model has been proved by the evaluation. Second, we analyze the types of water scarcity by improving the Water Poverty Index to the Advanced Water Poverty Index, and we creatively add population as the sixth key component. The prediction can be used as an important indicator for the government to take some specific intervention measures to help alleviate the severe water shortage and achieve sustainable development of water resources.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
References
Cui, J., Liu, S.F., Zeng, B., Xie, N.M.: Parameters characteristics of grey Verhulst prediction model under multiple transformation. Kongzhi Yu Juece/Control Decis. 28(4), 605–608 (2013)
Feitelson, E., Chenoweth, J.: Water poverty: towards a meaningful indicator. Water Policy 4(3), 263–281 (2002)
Garriga, R.G., Foguet, A.P.: Improved method to calculate a water poverty index at local scale. J. Environ. Eng. 136(11), 1287–1298 (2010)
Gong, L., Jin, C.: Urban water security evaluation system based on water poverty index. Shuili Fadian Xuebao/J. Hydroelectr. Eng. 33(6), 84–90 (2014)
Kahil, M.T., Diner, A., Albiac, J.: Modeling water scarcity and droughts for policy adaptation to climate change in arid and semiarid regions. J. Hydrol. 522, 95–109 (2015)
López Álvarez, B., Ramos Leal, J.A.: Water poverty index in subtropical zones: the case of Huasteca Potosina, Mexico. Rev. Int. Contam. Ambient. 31(2), 173–184 (2015)
Mekonnen, M.M., Hoekstra, A.Y.: Four billion people facing severe water scarcity. Sci. Adv. 2(2), e1500323 (2016)
Postel, S.L.: Entering an era of water scarcity: the challenges ahead. Ecol. Appl. 10(10), 941–948 (2008)
Santini, G.: Coping with water scarcity. Unesco Tech. Doc. Hydrol. 58(4), 77–98 (2015)
Sullivan, C.: Calculating a water poverty index. World Dev. 30(7), 1195–1210 (2002)
Sullivan, C., Meigh, J., Lawrence, P.: Application of the water poverty index at different scales a cautionary tale. Water Int. 31(3), 412–426 (2006)
Tsoularis, A., Wallace, J.: Analysis of logistic growth models. Math. Biosci. 179(1), 21–55 (2002)
Wang, Z.X., Dang, Y.G., Liu, S.F.: Unbiased grey Verhulst model and its application. Syst. Eng.-Theory. 29(10), 138–144 (2009)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Wang, J., Li, L. (2017). A Joint Model for Water Scarcity Evaluation. In: Song, S., Renz, M., Moon, YS. (eds) Web and Big Data. APWeb-WAIM 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10612. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69781-9_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69781-9_2
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69780-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-69781-9
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)