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Quantitative Argumentation Debates with Votes for Opinion Polling

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PRIMA 2017: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems (PRIMA 2017)

Abstract

Opinion polls are used in a variety of settings to assess the opinions of a population, but they mostly conceal the reasoning behind these opinions. Argumentation, as understood in AI, can be used to evaluate opinions in dialectical exchanges, transparently articulating the reasoning behind the opinions. We give a method integrating argumentation within opinion polling to empower voters to add new statements that render their opinions in the polls individually rational while at the same time justifying them. We then show how these poll results can be amalgamated to give a collectively rational set of voters in an argumentation framework. Our method relies upon Quantitative Argumentation Debate for Voting (QuAD-V) frameworks, which extend QuAD frameworks (a form of bipolar argumentation frameworks in which arguments have an intrinsic strength) with votes expressing individuals’ opinions on arguments.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    yougov.co.uk.

  2. 2.

    www.getwhichit.com.

  3. 3.

    https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/.

  4. 4.

    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-missed-trump-we-asked-pollsters-why/.

  5. 5.

    www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2016-37943072.

  6. 6.

    www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/09/polls-wrong-donald-trump-election.

  7. 7.

    www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/why-the-remain-campaign-lost-the-brexit-vote.

  8. 8.

    www.theguardian.com/business/2016/sep/16/truth-lies-and-trust-in-the-age-of-brexit-and-trump.

  9. 9.

    www.edition.cnn.com/2016/06/25/politics/uk-referendum-regrexit/index.html.

  10. 10.

    This requirement is imposed without loss of generality (see [1]).

  11. 11.

    From here onwards, we give only the components of \(\mathcal {Q}_{j\,+\,1}^{u_{i}}\) different to those in \(\mathcal {Q}_{j}^{u_{i}}\).

  12. 12.

    Note that, as we state at the beginning of Sect. 7, users may change their votes on these “unseen” arguments if multiple runs of the process depicted in Fig. 2 occur. We leave the study of multiple runs to future work.

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Rago, A., Toni, F. (2017). Quantitative Argumentation Debates with Votes for Opinion Polling. In: An, B., Bazzan, A., Leite, J., Villata, S., van der Torre, L. (eds) PRIMA 2017: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems. PRIMA 2017. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10621. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69131-2_22

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69131-2_22

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