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Rationality as the Basic Criterion for the Evaluation of Judgment and Decision-Making Processes

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Escalation of Commitment in Internationalization Processes

Part of the book series: MIR Series in International Business ((MIRSIB))

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Abstract

Prior to an exploration of bounded rationality in internationalization processes of companies, it is necessary to take a closer look at the general matter of rationality in judgment and decision-making processes. This is because internationalization processes are shaped by a series of consecutive decisions based on the individual and organizational expectations of decision-makers. These judgment and decision-making processes should be based on rational grounds, or in other words, on an appropriate analysis of alternatives as well as on information processing. Rationality is the basic criterion for the evaluation of the plausibility of processual decisions. Yet, as already pointed out in the introduction of this dissertation, the actions of decision-makers and their expectations are not necessarily based on objective, fully justifiable grounds: Not only are managers working in difficult environments (particularly in the context of international business), in which they are confronted with imperfect situational contexts, e.g., lack of information, but they are also subjected to cognitive dispositions that trigger boundedly rational and even so-called irrational behavior. But in addition to potential limits of rationality there is furthermore the fundamental question of what rationality actually is. What defines ‘objective and fully justifiable’ grounds? In different contexts, the term of rationality is used by philosophers, theologians, mathematicians, sociologists, and economists. A clarification of this dissertation’s underlying understanding of rationality is therefore inevitable for a thorough analysis of bounded rationality in the context of internationalization processes. This clarification will be conducted in Sect. 2.1.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Cf. Bronner (2004, col. 229).

  2. 2.

    Cf. Valcárcel (2004, col. 1238); see also Nida-Rümelin (1992, p. 131), for an interesting discussion about the understanding of rationality in philosophy (by tendency theoretical-Kantian and principled) as well as in economics (by tendency practical and consequential).

  3. 3.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, pp. 16–19), Wolf (2013, pp. 125 ff.), Walliser (2008, pp. 49 ff.), and Luce and von Winterfeldt (1994, p. 264).

  4. 4.

    Cf. Johanson and Vahlne (1977, pp. 23 ff.).

  5. 5.

    Cf. Scholl (1992, col. 2000), Berger (1992, p. 128), and Pfeffer (1981, p. 21).

  6. 6.

    Cf. Brühl (2015, pp. 58–60) and Simon (2000, pp. 25 ff.).

  7. 7.

    Cf. Mallard (2012, p. 675).

  8. 8.

    Cf. Boudon (2007, p. 26), for a broad—rather philosophical—discussion of a general theory of rationality and an understanding of ‘common sense’.

  9. 9.

    Cf. Hempel (1961–1962, p. 5).

  10. 10.

    Weber (1972, p. 13).

  11. 11.

    Cf. Read (2007, p. 46).

  12. 12.

    Cf. Schumpeter (1984, p. 580).

  13. 13.

    Cf. Scott (1999, p.126).

  14. 14.

    Becker (1993, p. 386) and see also Becker (1976, pp. 282 ff.).

  15. 15.

    Cf. Sugden (1991, p. 751).

  16. 16.

    Cf. Sect. 2.2.1.2 of the present study for a more detailed overview of these assumptions.

  17. 17.

    Cf. Sect. 2.1.1.3 for more information on varieties of rationality.

  18. 18.

    Hollis (1977, p. 21).

  19. 19.

    Cf. Persky (1995, p. 222).

  20. 20.

    Cf. Smith (1966, pp. 12–14).

  21. 21.

    Cf. Machlup (1978, p. 284) as well as Sect. 2.1.1.3 of the present study for more information on common misunderstandings about the economic man.

  22. 22.

    Cf. Kremser (2013, p. 219) and Vriend (1996, p. 263).

  23. 23.

    Cf. Zouboulakis (2014, pp. 3 ff.).

  24. 24.

    Arrow (1986, p. S388).

  25. 25.

    Cf. Ng and Tseng (2008, p. 267) and Persky (1995, p. 223).

  26. 26.

    Cf. von Mises (1949, p. 241) and Robbins (1932, p. 18).

  27. 27.

    Cf. Vriend (1996, p. 270).

  28. 28.

    Cf. Kirchgässner (2008, p. 15).

  29. 29.

    Cf. Sect. 2.1.2 for an alternative understanding of rationality (as in bounded rationality).

  30. 30.

    Cf. Doucouliagos (1994, p. 877).

  31. 31.

    Cf. Zintl (1989, p. 53).

  32. 32.

    Cf. Gäfgen (1974, p. 27).

  33. 33.

    Cf. Tietzel (1981, p. 119).

  34. 34.

    Cf. Kerscher (2013, p. 15).

  35. 35.

    Cf. Machlup (1978, pp. 269–273).

  36. 36.

    Cf. Dahrendorf (2006, pp. 105–106).

  37. 37.

    Cf. Faber et al. (2002, p. 328) and Nyborg (2000, p. 310).

  38. 38.

    Machlup (1978, p. 267).

  39. 39.

    Cf. Sect. 2.1.2.

  40. 40.

    Cf. the following section for information on individual internationalization benefits for managers.

  41. 41.

    Cf. Jensen and Meckling (1976) for fundamental literature on agency theory.

  42. 42.

    Cf. Freeman et al. (2004, pp. 364 ff.), Berman et al. (1999, p. 491), Harrison and Freeman (1999, pp. 479 ff.), and Hambrick (1983, p. 690).

  43. 43.

    Freeman (1984, p. 9), argues that owners also seek management control besides returns. Hence, shareholders have a strong but not exclusive priority on returns.

  44. 44.

    Wright and Ferris (1997, pp. 77 ff.).

  45. 45.

    Cf. Cyert and March (1963, p. 31) and March (1962, pp. 662 ff.).

  46. 46.

    Cf. Fernández and Nieto (2006, p. 343), Chrisman et al. (2004, p. 338), Schulze et al. (2002, p. 249), and Tagiuri and Davis (1996, p. 202).

  47. 47.

    Rational actions from a company perspective, for example, should yield in long term economic success with the highest possible benefit for all stakeholders.

  48. 48.

    Cf. Bartlett (1986, p. 221) and von Mises (1933, p. 32).

  49. 49.

    Cf. Brühl (2015, pp. 58–59), Simon (1986, p. S211), Pfohl and Braun (1981, pp. 128–131), and Gäfgen (1974, p. 26).

  50. 50.

    Cf. Grünig and Kühn (2013, p. 38).

  51. 51.

    Davidson (2004, pp. 39 ff.).

  52. 52.

    Cf. Grüning and Kühn (2013, p. 37).

  53. 53.

    Cf. ibid.; Dimitratos et al. (2011, p. 195), Simon (1986, p. S211), and Pfohl and Braun (1981, pp. 128–131).

  54. 54.

    Yet this differs slightly from Max Weber’s understanding of value-rational decisions, which are much more the consequence of social intentions.

  55. 55.

    Cf. Davis et al. (1997, p. 25).

  56. 56.

    Cf. Oesterle et al. (2013, p. 190).

  57. 57.

    Cf. Harris and Raviv (1991, p. 300).

  58. 58.

    Cf. Oesterle et al. (2013, pp. 187 ff.).

  59. 59.

    Admittedly, the presented line of argumentation concentrates on owners and managers. ‘Blue-collar-employees’ can very well be negatively affected by internationalization processes as internationalization can lead to production offshoring and job-losses.

  60. 60.

    Cf. Magill et al. (2015, p. 1685), Berman et al. (1999, p. 501), Waddock and Graves (1997, pp. 303 ff.), Huselid (1995, pp. 635 ff.), and Pfeffer (1994, pp. 27 ff.).

  61. 61.

    Cf. Strange et al. (2009, p. 396).

  62. 62.

    Cf. Saßmannshausen (2009, p. 61).

  63. 63.

    Simon (1976, p. xxviii).

  64. 64.

    Cf. Sect. 2.1.1.2.

  65. 65.

    Cf. Basel and Brühl (2013, p. 745) and Gigerenzer and Selten (2002, p. 3).

  66. 66.

    For further information on the relation between these two scholarly disciplines refer to DellaVigna (2009, p. 315).

  67. 67.

    Cf. Selten (2002, p. 13).

  68. 68.

    Simon (1955, p. 99).

  69. 69.

    Cf. Simon (1990, p. 7).

  70. 70.

    Cf. Basel and Brühl (2013, p. 747).

  71. 71.

    Cf. Pomerol and Adam (2006, p. 34).

  72. 72.

    Cf. Camerer et al. (2004) and their Roundtable Series in Behavioral Economics for an overview of recent studies.

  73. 73.

    Cf. Bendor et al. (2009, p. 1).

  74. 74.

    Cf. Simon (1979, pp. 500–503).

  75. 75.

    Cf. Basel and Brühl (2013, p. 747).

  76. 76.

    Cf. Rakowski (1980, p. 197), Bohm (1967, pp. 301 ff.), and Lipsey and Lancaster (1956, pp. 11 ff.).

  77. 77.

    Cf. Lipsey and Lancaster (1956, p. 11), for essential literature on the ‘theory of the second best’. A Paretian optimum requires the criterion that all of its preconditions must be met in order to reach the optimal state. However, if only one precondition is not met, the fulfillment of all other preconditions is not necessarily any longer desirable. On the contrary, a second best equilibrium could be rather worthwhile, as long as the preconditions for this alternative are actually entirely met. William J. Baumol (1965, p. 138) argues that in a scenario, in which 5000 supply-demand equations must be satisfied for an optimal resource allocation, the fulfillment of 3900 of these conditions is not necessarily superior to the fulfillment of only 2400.

  78. 78.

    Cf. Basel and Brühl (2013, p. 747) and Klaes and Sent (2005, p. 27).

  79. 79.

    Cf. Tversky and Kahneman (1974, p. 1124).

  80. 80.

    Cf. Forbes (2005, p. 624).

  81. 81.

    Cf. Russo and Schoemaker (1989a, p. 16, b, p. 15) and Tversky and Kahneman (1981, pp. 453 ff.); as well as Sect. 2.2.3.2 of the present study.

  82. 82.

    Cf. Ohlert and Weißenberger (2015, p. 52), Argote et al. (1990, pp. 296 ff.), and Tversky and Kahneman (1974, p. 1124).

  83. 83.

    Cf. Chugh and Bazerman (2007, p. 1).

  84. 84.

    Cf. Brockner (1992, pp. 39 ff.); as well as Sect. 3.3.2 of the present study.

  85. 85.

    Cf. Basel and Brühl (2013, p. 748) and Bazerman and Moore (2013, p. 119).

  86. 86.

    Cf. Gigerenzer (1991, pp. 83 ff.).

  87. 87.

    Cf. Gigerenzer and Gaissmaier (2011, p. 454).

  88. 88.

    Cf. Gigerenzer (2008, p. 8) and Gigerenzer and Todd (1999, p. 18).

  89. 89.

    Cf. Sect. 3.3.2 of the present study.

  90. 90.

    Cf. Tirole (2002, p. 640).

  91. 91.

    Cf. Gigerenzer and Selten (2002, p. 4).

  92. 92.

    Cf. Walliser (2008, p. 103).

  93. 93.

    Cf. Wolf (2013, p. 125) and Simon (1976, p. 8).

  94. 94.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, p. 3).

  95. 95.

    Cf. von der Oelsnitz (1999, p. 157).

  96. 96.

    Cf. Snowden and Boone (2007, pp. 68 ff.), Dean and Sharfman (1996, pp. 368 ff.), and Payne (1976, pp. 366 ff.).

  97. 97.

    Cf. Sect. 3.2.

  98. 98.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, pp. 16–19), Wolf (2013, pp. 125 ff.), Walliser (2008, pp. 49 ff.), Meyer (2000, p. 7), van der Pligt (1996, p. 30), and Luce and von Winterfeldt (1994, p. 264).

  99. 99.

    Cf. Osterloh (2004, col. 222).

  100. 100.

    Cf. Dunning (1988, p. 14).

  101. 101.

    Cf. Fox (2015, p. 85).

  102. 102.

    Cf. Kumar and Subramaniam (1997, p. 64) and Pfohl and Braun (1981, p. 74); for an example of such a formalized and mathematical JDM perspective, cf. Schneeweiß (1963, pp. 203–212).

  103. 103.

    Cf. Rapoport (1989, p. vii).

  104. 104.

    Cf. Simon (1959, p. 255).

  105. 105.

    Cf. Langer and Rogowski (2011, p. 180).

  106. 106.

    Cf. Rapoport (1989, p. vii).

  107. 107.

    Cf. Pfohl and Braun (1981, p. 131) and Heinen (1976, pp. 30 ff.).

  108. 108.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, pp. 155–157).

  109. 109.

    It has been referred to ‘seemingly’ because the reader should recall that the advisory capability of prescriptive JDM approaches is heavily constricted by rigid assumptions.

  110. 110.

    Cf. Meyer (2000, p. 2) and Pfohl and Braun (1981, p. 74).

  111. 111.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, pp. 157–158).

  112. 112.

    Cf. Olsen (1994, p. 82) and Schwenk (1985, p. 501).

  113. 113.

    Cf. Bell et al. (1988, p. 16) and Fishburn (1983, p. 293).

  114. 114.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, p. 41).

  115. 115.

    Cf. von Winterfeldt (1989, pp. 499 ff.).

  116. 116.

    Cf. Wolf (2013, p. 125); cf. also von Winterfeldt (1989, pp. 499 ff.).

  117. 117.

    Cf. Loomes and Sugden (1982, pp. 805 ff.) and their Regret Theory as an example.

  118. 118.

    Cf. Bamberg et al. (2012, p. 6).

  119. 119.

    Cf. Bleichrodt et al. (2001, pp. 1498 ff.) and Luce and von Winterfeldt (1994, pp. 263 ff.).

  120. 120.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, p. 4).

  121. 121.

    Cf. Wolf (2013, p. 128).

  122. 122.

    Cf. Starmer (2000, pp. 332 ff.).

  123. 123.

    Cf. Savage (1972, pp. 27 ff.) for a fundamental basis of subjective EUT.

  124. 124.

    Cf. Fishburn (1981, p. 139) and Savage (1972, p. 3).

  125. 125.

    Cf. Hammond (1998b, p. 215); see also March and Olsen (1989, pp. 160–162), on the logic of consequentiality (against the logic of appropriateness): “In a logic of consequentiality, behaviors are driven by preferences and expectations about consequences. Behavior is willful, reflecting an attempt to make outcomes fulfill subjective desires, to the extent possible.”

  126. 126.

    Cf. Tversky (1975, p. 163), Bernoulli (1954, p. 24), and von Neumann and Morgenstern (1953, pp. 73–76).

  127. 127.

    Cf. Bernoulli (1954, p. 24): “[…] the determination of the value of an item must not be based on its price, but rather on the utility it yields.”

  128. 128.

    Cf. Starmer (2000, p. 333).

  129. 129.

    Cf. Samuelson (1977, p. 25); cf. also Casella (1985, pp. 83 ff.), for a broad review of Bayes methods; according to the Bayes estimator (μ-rule), the expected utility of the lottery is calculated as follows: \( E\left({2}^n\right)={\sum}_{n=1}^{\infty }{2}^n\ {\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)}^n=+\infty \).

  130. 130.

    Cf. Starmer (2000, pp. 333–334) and Rapoport Orwant (1962, pp. 1–3).

  131. 131.

    Cf. Heun (2007, p. 20).

  132. 132.

    Cf. von Neumann and Morgenstern (1953, pp. 73–76).

  133. 133.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, p. 249) and Coombs et al. (1970, p. 122).

  134. 134.

    Cf. inter alia Hammond (1988, pp. 25 ff.), Luce and Raiffa (1957, p. 23), and Herstein and Milnor (1953, pp. 291 ff.).

  135. 135.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, pp. 250 ff.) and Coombs et al. (1970, pp. 122–126).

  136. 136.

    Cf. Hammond (1998a, pp. 152–157).

  137. 137.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, pp. 250 ff.).

  138. 138.

    Cf. Coombs et al. (1970, pp. 122–126).

  139. 139.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, pp. 248–250).

  140. 140.

    Cf. Starmer (2000, p. 334).

  141. 141.

    Cf. Tversky (1975, p. 163).

  142. 142.

    Cf. Dubra et al. (2004, pp. 118 ff.), Dekel (1986, pp. 304 ff.), and Machina (1982, pp. 277 ff.).

  143. 143.

    Cf. Tversky (1975, p. 163).

  144. 144.

    Figure 2.1 serves as a graphic illustration of the classification framework for JDM approaches, which is applied in the present study. It will be readopted in Sect. 3.2 for the classification of the U-Model.

  145. 145.

    Cf. Kahneman and Tversky (1979, p. 263).

  146. 146.

    Cf. Tversky and Kahneman (1992, pp. 297 ff.); for a comparison between the variations of Prospect Theory cf. Fennema and Wakker (1997, pp. 53 ff.).

  147. 147.

    Cf. Eisenführ et al. (2010, p. 423) and Shimizu (2007, p. 1495).

  148. 148.

    Amos Tversky deceased in 1996.

  149. 149.

    Cf. Levy (1997, pp. 89–93).

  150. 150.

    Cf. Tversky and Kahneman (1992, p. 298).

  151. 151.

    Cf. Sharp and Salter (1997, pp. 103–104).

  152. 152.

    Cf. Tversky and Kahneman (1992, p. 298) and Kahneman and Tversky (1979, p. 265).

  153. 153.

    Cf. Allais (1953, p. 505).

  154. 154.

    Unlike Allais’s original consideration, their variation of the experiment referred to moderate instead of very large gains.

  155. 155.

    Kahneman and Tversky (1979, pp. 265–266).

  156. 156.

    Cf. the previous section on EUT and its axiomatic foundation.

  157. 157.

    Cf. Fiegenbaum and Thomas (1988, p. 88).

  158. 158.

    Tversky and Kahneman (1992, p. 298).

  159. 159.

    Cf. Bazerman (1984, p. 333).

  160. 160.

    Cf. Kahneman and Tversky (1979, pp. 268–269); Kahneman and Tversky label this observation as a ‘reflection effect’.

  161. 161.

    Cf. Loewenstein and Issacharoff (1994, pp. 157 ff.).

  162. 162.

    Cf. Certo et al. (2008, p. 116) and Tversky and Kahneman (1992, p. 298); much literature on source dependence is furthermore rooted in the empirical (experimental) observations of Ellsberg (1961, p. 650).

  163. 163.

    Cf. Tversky and Kahneman (1992, pp. 297–298).

  164. 164.

    Cf. Laux et al. (2014, p. 174) and Kahneman and Tversky (1979, pp. 274–280).

  165. 165.

    For further information on the components of the editing phase cf. Kahneman and Tversky (1979, pp. 274–275) or the introduction to Prospect Theory of Levy (1992, pp. 171 ff.).

  166. 166.

    Cf. Schaub (1997, p. 171).

  167. 167.

    Cf. Levy (1992, p. 181).

  168. 168.

    Cf. Kahneman and Tversky (1979, pp. 275–276).

  169. 169.

    Cf. Levy (1992, p. 181) and Kahneman and Tversky (1979, p. 278).

  170. 170.

    Cf. Levy (1997, p. 105).

  171. 171.

    Cf. Shimizu (2007, p. 1496).

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Röber, B. (2018). Rationality as the Basic Criterion for the Evaluation of Judgment and Decision-Making Processes. In: Escalation of Commitment in Internationalization Processes. MIR Series in International Business. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69102-2_2

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