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A Future-Oriented Agent-Based Simulation to Improve Urban Critical Infrastructure Resilience

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Urban Disaster Resilience and Security

Part of the book series: The Urban Book Series ((UBS))

Abstract

The conversion to smart grids opens up a wide amount of possibilities to better control power distributions. The benefit is not only limited to a more secured and economical power distribution. It may also enable to bridge the gap between grid reliability management and disaster response. In particular under critical circumstances like grid instabilities, electricity may be missing or shortening. While distributing limited resources, the consideration of costumer’s performances, their criticalities and vulnerabilities regarding lack of electricity and other vital services, and the focus on a sufficient continued supply of critical services in an urban area may have a significant leverage effect on urban resilience. To benefit from this effect, we introduce and discuss the foundation of an agent-based system for the purpose of building urban resilience through a decentralized and agent-autonomous coordination of CI services in a city during an emergency situation. Therefore, we introduce the specification of decision-making in the context of critical infrastructures and disaster management in this chapter. Furthermore, we discuss the basic ideas of modelling critical infrastructures as agents and we demonstrate how their functionality is implemented in the model. A key topic of this chapter is a discussion about the design of the agent’s negotiation and its beneficial advantages in responding to critical infrastructure disruptions and in building more resilient cities.

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Acknowledgements

The presented work is part of the Helmholtz Association’s (HGF) portfolio project “Security Research” and of the critical infrastructure protection activities of the Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technologies (CEDIM). CEDIM is an interdisciplinary research centre of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Germany, which is also member of the International Centre of Excellence for Critical Infrastructures and Strategic Planning (IRDR ICoE-CISP). The HGF’s and CEDIM’s financial support of the work is gratefully acknowledged.

The preparation of the manuscript was supported by our dear colleagues Evgenia Deines, Stefan Wandler, Dr. Shan Bai, and Dr. Sadeeb Ottenburger [all Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)]. We are thankful to our colleagues for their comments, their valuable contribution to the development of the sub-models and the implementation in the Repast Simphony framework.

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Correspondence to Thomas Münzberg .

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Münzberg, T., Müller, T., Raskob, W. (2018). A Future-Oriented Agent-Based Simulation to Improve Urban Critical Infrastructure Resilience. In: Fekete, A., Fiedrich, F. (eds) Urban Disaster Resilience and Security. The Urban Book Series. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68606-6_16

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