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Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 679))

Abstract

Second-order cybernetic models let explain an influence of mass behavior upon macroeconomic characteristics. In particular, we consider situations related to the self-organization and synergy of interacting socio-economic systems and an impact of random factors. In such situations catastrophic intensity of offensive adaptive mass behavior may produce a negative impact on the economic stability. Nonlinear dynamics of self-organization processes complicates prediction of macroeconomic characteristics via extrapolation of trends. An amplitude-frequency analysis of oscillatory self-organization processes let obtain more relevant forecasts.

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Acknowledgments

The research described in this paper is partially supported by the Russian Humanitarian Found (grants 15-04-00400), the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (grants 15-07-08391, 15-08-08459, 16-07-00779, 16-08-00510, 16-08-01277, 16-29-09482-ofi-i, 17-08-00797, 17-06-00108, 17-01-00139, 17-20-01214), grant 074-U01 (ITMO University), project 6.1.1 (Peter the Great St. Petersburg Politechnic University) supported by Government of Russian Federation, Program STC of Union State “Monitoring-SG” (project 1.4.1-1), state order of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation №2.3135.2017/K, state research 0073–2014–0009, 0073–2015–0007, International project ERASMUS +, Capacity building in higher education, № 73751-EPP-1-2016-1-DE-EPPKA2-CBHE-JP, Innovative teaching and learning strategies in open modeling and simulation environment for student-centered engineering education.

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Correspondence to Dmitry Verzilin .

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Sokolov, B., Verzilin, D., Maximova, T., Sokolova, I. (2018). Dynamic Models of Self-organization Through Mass Behavior in Society. In: Abraham, A., Kovalev, S., Tarassov, V., Snasel, V., Vasileva, M., Sukhanov, A. (eds) Proceedings of the Second International Scientific Conference “Intelligent Information Technologies for Industry” (IITI’17). IITI 2017. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 679. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68321-8_12

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68321-8_12

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