• Carlos M. Lemos
Part of the SpringerBriefs in Complexity book series (BRIEFSCOMPLEXITY)


In this work, an agent-based model for studying large-scale conflict against a central authority was developed and explored in a set of computer experiments. The model proposed herein is an extension of Epstein’s ABM of civil violence, in which new mechanisms such as deprivation-dependent hardship, vanishing of the risk perception (“massive fear loss”) below a critical ratio between deterrence and “group support,” legitimacy feedback (drop of the central authority’s legitimacy due to uprisings) and network influences were implemented. This introduction contains an overview of the motivation, scope of the work, and methodology of development. It also describes the structure of the remainder of book, which is structured in six chapters, dedicated to state-of-the-art review of social conflict theories and related concepts, discussion of Epstein’s model, analysis of conflict events and social indicators for eight African countries affected by the “Arab Spring,” description of the proposed agent-based model, computer explorations, and conclusions.


Social conflict Complexity Mechanisms Agent-based model Social simulation “Arab Spring” 


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Copyright information

© The Author(s) 2018

Authors and Affiliations

  • Carlos M. Lemos
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Religion, Philosophy and HistoryUniversity of AgderKristiansandNorway

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