Abstract
Organizations are constantly seeking to achieve earlier and more accurate cost estimates in order to make better trades space and design decisions, as well as minimize project cost and schedule overrun. These estimates facilitate decisions that are more informed – especially within the United States Department of Defense’s engineered resilient systems (ERS) program. This paper will discuss the current methods used to achieve life cycle estimates, the role of estimation within ERS, and recommend a parametric life cycle cost estimation model that will support decision-making. In addition, this paper will focus solely on early life cycle engineering inputs that translate with Department of Defense’s pre-Milestone A in order to create an early life cycle cost estimation model (ELCE). This model leverages the engineering inputs (design parameters) that are typically available early in the design process in the following five categories: hardware, software, systems engineering, project management, and integration. This paper will also highlight future research goals to determine values for factors of economies of scale, regression analysis with real data, limitations, and potential impacts of application.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Blanchard BS, Fabrycky WJ (2011) Chapter 17: Design for affordability (life cycle costing). In: Fabrycky WJ (ed) Systems engineering and analysis, 5th edn. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River, p 566
Boehm BW, Abts C, Brown AW, Clark BK, Horowitz E, Madachy R, Reifer D, Steece B (2000) Software cost estimation with COCOMO II. Prentice Hall, Upper Saddle River
Cabrera D, Cabrera L (2015) In: Powers E (ed) Systems thinking made simple: new hope for solving wicked problems. Odyssean Press, p 59
Carter A (2010) Better buying power: mandate for restoring affordability and productivity in defense spending [memorandum]. Department of Defense, Washington, DC
Carter A (2015) Message from secretary ashton carter to all department of defense personnel. Department of Defense
Department of defense instruction (2015) Operation of the defense acquisition system (Instruction No. DoDi 5000.02). Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics (USD(AT&L)), Washington, DC
Farr J, Valerdi R, Goerger S, Dabkowski M (2016) Conversation between subject matter experts in field of cost estimation on paradigms of cost for generic systems. West Point
Ford TC (2008) Interoperability measurement. Air Force Institute of Technology Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio. Graduate School of Engineering and Management
GAO (2014) F-35 lightning II program (F-35) (Assessments of Major Weapons Programs No. 14-340SP). Washington, DC: US Government Accountability Office
Goerger SR, Madni AM, Eslinger OJ (2014) Engineered resilient systems: a DoD perspective. Conference on Systems Engineering Research
Holland JP (2016) Engineering for resilience. SciTech Presentation, San Diego. Slide 7
Under Secretary of Defense (AT&L) (2015) Operation of the defense acquisition system (No. DoDI 5000.02). Under Secretary of Defense (AT&L)
SEER-H® Documentation Team: MC, WL, JT, KM (2014) SEER for hardware detailed reference – user’s manual. United States of America: Galorath Incorporated (User’s Manual)
Shibata JT (2010) A space acquisition leading indicator based on system interoperability maturity, No. AFIT/GSE/ENV/10-D02DL. Air Force Institute of Technology Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio. Graduate School of Engineering and Management
Valerdi R (2008) In: Muller D (ed) The constructive systems engineering cost model (COSYSMO): quantifying the costs of systems engineering effort in complex systems. VDM Verlag, Saarbrucken
Valerdi R, Ryan TR (2016) Total cost of ownership (TOC): an approach for estimating UMAS costs. In: Caras JR, Dickmann JQ (eds) Operations research for unmanned systems, 1st edn. Wiley, Hoboken, pp 207–232
Young L, Wade J, Valerdi R, Farr J, Kwak YH (2010) An approach to estimate the lifecycle cost and effort in project management for systems centric projects. International Forumn on COCOMO and Systems/Software Cost Modeling
Wang G, Valerdi R, Roedler GJ, Ankrum A, Gaffney JE (2012) Harmonising software engineering and systems engineering cost estimation. Int J Comput Integr Manuf 25(4–5):432–443. doi:10.1080/0951192X.2010.542182
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Moody, T., Provine, R., Todd, S., Tyler, N., Ryan, T.R., Valerdi, R. (2018). Early Life Cycle Cost Estimation: Fiscal Stewardship with Engineered Resilient Systems. In: Madni, A., Boehm, B., Ghanem, R., Erwin, D., Wheaton, M. (eds) Disciplinary Convergence in Systems Engineering Research. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62217-0_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-62217-0_2
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-62216-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-62217-0
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)