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Simulating Population Behavior: Transportation Mode, Green Technology, and Climate Change

  • Nasrin KhansariEmail author
  • John B. Waldt
  • Barry G. Silverman
  • Willian W. Braham
  • Karen Shen
  • Jae Min Lee
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 10354)

Abstract

This paper presents a decision tool intended to help achieve the goal of reduction in Green House Gas (GHG) emissions in the greater Philadelphia region by the year 2050. The goal is to explore and build a pre-prototype to evaluate the value of the role for agents, alternative data sources (Census, energy reports, surveys, etc.), GIS modeling, and various social science theories of human behavior. Section 2 explains our initial research on an Agent Based Model (ABM) built upon the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and the Discrete Decision Choice model (DDC) to model consumer technology adoption. The users can utilize the proposed ABM to investigate the role of attitude, social networks, and economics upon consumer choice of vehicle and transportation mode. Finally, we conclude with results on agent decisions for which transit mode to use and whether to adopt greener technologies.

Keywords

Agent Based Models (ABM) Decision-making process Climate change Energy use in transportation Technology adoption 

Notes

Acknowledgements

We thank Kleinman Center for Energy Policy, the Mellon Foundation: Humanities, Urbanism, and Design Initiative, and the Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission for supporting us in this research. Any opinions or errors are those of the authors alone.

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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Nasrin Khansari
    • 1
    Email author
  • John B. Waldt
    • 1
  • Barry G. Silverman
    • 1
  • Willian W. Braham
    • 2
  • Karen Shen
    • 1
  • Jae Min Lee
    • 2
  1. 1.Electrical and Systems Engineering DepartmentUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaUSA
  2. 2.School of DesignUniversity of PennsylvaniaPhiladelphiaUSA

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