Skip to main content

Research on Short-Term Prediction of Power Grid Status Data Based on SVM

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Book cover Collaborate Computing: Networking, Applications and Worksharing (CollaborateCom 2016)

Abstract

EMS (Energy management system) is a collection of computer hardware and software, which collects, monitors, controls and optimizes data provided by power control system, and provide trading scheme, security services and service analysis for power market. The prediction of status data is a basic function module of advanced application software systems. Therefore it is meaningful to do research on new method and new technology of predicting power grid status data. In this paper, support vector machine is used to do regression prediction for active power of EMS. In training process, the training set and kernel function of SVM are selected, and parameters are optimized, also, the performance of SVM is evaluated. Experiments show that SVM can get higher accuracy in short term active power prediction although the data set is small. This paper provides a new idea for related research works in electric power industry system.

Funded by the national high technology research and development program (863 Program) (No. 2015AA050204)

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Lorenz, E., Hurka, J., Heinemann, D., et al.: Irradiance forecasting for the power prediction of grid-connected photovoltaic systems. IEEE J. Sel. Topics Appl. Earth Observations Remote Sens. 2(1), 2–10 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Rudin, C., Waltz, D., Anderson, R.N., et al.: Machine learning for the New York City power grid. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 34(2), 328–345 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Louka, P., Galanis, G., Siebert, N., et al.: Improvements in wind speed forecasts for wind power prediction purposes using Kalman filtering. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn. 96(12), 2348–2362 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Mabel, M.C., Fernandez, E.: Analysis of wind power generation and prediction using ANN: A case study. Renew. Energy 33(5), 986–992 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Cherkassky, V., Ma, Y.: Practical selection of SVM parameters and noise estimation for SVM regression. Neural Netw. 17(1), 113–126 (2004)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  6. Basak, D., Pal, S., Patranabis, D.C.: Support vector regression. Neural Inf. Process. Lett. Rev. 11(10), 203–224 (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Chang, C.C., Lin, C.J.: LIBSVM: A library for support vector machines. ACM Trans. Intell. Syst. Technol. (TIST) 2(3), 27 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kara, Y., Boyacioglu, M.A., Baykan, Ö.K.: Predicting direction of stock price index movement using artificial neural networks and support vector machines: The sample of the Istanbul stock exchange. Expert Syst. Appl. 38(5), 5311–5319 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Box, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M., Reinsel, G.C., et al.: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Wiley, New York (2015)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  10. Wei, G., Ling, Y., Guo, B., et al.: Prediction-based data aggregation in wireless sensor networks: Combining grey model and Kalman filter. Comput. Commun. 34(6), 793–802 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Hamzacebi, C., Es, H.A.: Forecasting the annual electricity consumption of Turkey using an optimized grey model. Energy 70, 165–171 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Wang, S., Hsu, C.H., Liang, Z., et al.: Multi-user web service selection based on multi-QoS prediction. Inf. Syst. Front. 16(1), 143–152 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Maji, S., Berg, A.C., Malik, J.: Efficient classification for additive kernel SVMs. IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 35(1), 66–77 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ye Tang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering

About this paper

Cite this paper

Su, J., Yang, Y., Yan, D., Tang, Y., Mu, Z. (2017). Research on Short-Term Prediction of Power Grid Status Data Based on SVM. In: Wang, S., Zhou, A. (eds) Collaborate Computing: Networking, Applications and Worksharing. CollaborateCom 2016. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 201. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59288-6_21

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59288-6_21

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-59287-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-59288-6

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics