Lessons Learned

  • Lucía Martínez Ordóñez
Part of the Contributions to Economics book series (CE)


Military doctrine assumes information and information technology to be a key factor in decisions at all levels of war. It suggests that one should expect military operations to go hand in hand with second mover advantages. The analyses presented in this thesis suggest, though, that the general assumption that every strategy anticipating the enemy’s intentions would necessarily result in an advantage is not justified. What is more, we even find examples in actual conflicts, where there is an incentive to do the opposite, namely reveal one’s strategies to the enemy. Scenarios from Operation Enduring Freedom, e.g., show that, contrary to intuition, COIN forces’ operations would have been able to do better by revealing their CAS capabilities in advance of every operation to take place, and not going ahead with that particular operation in the first place, unless they possess sufficient capabilities.


Strategic Planning Political Violence Military Operation Recent Conference Actual Conflict 
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  1. Randolph, S. P. (2015). Strategic decision making and competitive advantage: America vs. north Vietnam in linebackers I and II. Paper presented at the Violent Skies Symposium, October 15–16, 2015.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  • Lucía Martínez Ordóñez
    • 1
  1. 1.Faculty of EconomicsRuhr University BochumBochumGermany

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