Skip to main content

Between Isolations and Constructions: Economic Models as Believable Worlds

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
  • 420 Accesses

Abstract

The goal of this chapter is to show how economists explain by using models of economic phenomena. Hardt tries to overcome the dichotomical divide between conceptualizing models as isolations and constructions. This is done by introducing the idea of economic models as believable worlds; precisely, descriptions of mechanisms that refer to the essentials of the modelled targets. Hardt uses Jim Woodward’s conceptualization of mechanisms. ‘Between isolations and constructions. Economic models as believable worlds’ shows that such models do not offer the perfectly true descriptions of the actual world but rather justified beliefs about the modelled phenomena. The analysis throughout the chapter is supported by in-depth examination of the Hal Varian’s (1980) model of sales that is here treated as a representative way of reasoning in neoclassical economics. Hardt finishes by showing how literally false models can nevertheless explain.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   99.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  • Alexandrova, A. (2006). Connecting economic models to the real world: Game theory and the FCC spectrum auctions. Philosophy of the Social Sciences, 36(2), 173–192.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alexandrova, A., & Northcott, R. (2013). It’s just a feeling: Why economic models do not explain? Journal of Economic Methodology, 20(3), 262–267.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alston, W. P. (1985). Concepts of epistemic justification. Monist, 68(1), 57–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boumans, M. (2004). Models in economics. In B. Davis, A. Marciano, & J. Runde (Eds.), The Elgar companion to economics and philosophy (pp. 260–282). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boumans, M. (2005). How economists model the world to numbers. London: Routledge.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Cartwright, N. (1983). How the laws of physics lie. New York/Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Cartwright, N. (1989). Nature’s capacities and their measurement. Oxford: Clarendon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cartwright, N. (1998). Capacities. In J. B. Davis, D. W. Hands, & U. Mäki (Eds.), The handbook of economic methodology (pp. 45–48). Cheltenham: Edgar Elgar.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cartwright, N. (1999). The dappled world: A study of the boundaries of science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Cartwright, N. (2009). If no capacities then no credible worlds. But can models reveal capacities? Erkenntnis, 70(1), 45–58.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chakravartty, A. (2007). A metaphysics for scientific realism: Knowing the unobservable. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • David, M. (2001). Truth as the epistemic goal. In M. Steup (Ed.), Knowledge, truth, and duty (pp. 151–170). New York: Oxford University Press.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Earman, J., Glymour, C., & Sandra, M. (2002). Ceteris paribus lost. In J. Earman, C. Glymour, & S. Mitchell (Eds.), Ceteris paribus laws (pp. 5–25). Dordrecht: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gibbard, A., & Varian, H. R. (1978). Economic models. The Journal of Philosophy, 75(11), 664–677.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giere, R. (1988). Explaining science: A cognitive approach. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Glennan, S. (1996). Mechanisms and the nature of causation. Erkenntnis, 44(1), 49–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grüne-Yanoff, T. (2013). Genuineness resolved: A reply to Reiss’ purported paradox. Journal of Economic Methodology, 20(3), 255–261.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guala, F. (2005). The methodology of experimental economics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Händler, E. W. (1982). The evolution of economic theories. A formal approach. Erkenntnis, 18(1), 65–96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hardt, Ł. (2011). An inquiry into the explanatory virtues of transaction cost economics. The Journal of Philosophical Economics, 5(1), 120–147.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hardt Ł., & Mróz, R. (2016). Economic modelling – Beyond isolation and construction. The case of Austrian business cycle theory. Unpublished manuscript.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hausman, D. (2012). Mäki’s MISS. In A. Lehtinen, J. Kuorikoski, & P. Ylikoski (Eds.), Economics for real: Uskali Mäki and the place of truth in economics (pp. 81–95). New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hausman, D. (2013). Paradox postponed. Journal of Economic Methodology, 20(3), 250–254.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211(4481), 453–458.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kincaid, H. (2012). Some issues concerning the nature of economic explanation. In U. Mäki (Ed.), Philosophy of economics (pp. 137–158). Amsterdam: North-Holland.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Kitcher, P. (1981). Explanatory unification. Philosophy of Science, 48(4), 507–531.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lawson, T. (1997). Economics and reality. London: Routledge.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Lehrer, K. (1990). Theory of knowledge. London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lewis, D. (1973). Counterfactuals. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machamer, P. K., Darden, L., & Craver, C. F. (2000). Thinking about mechanisms. Philosophy of Science, 67(1), 1–25.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (1991). Comment on hands. In N. de Marchi & M. Blaug (Eds.), Appraising economic theories: Studies in the methodology of research programmes (pp. 85–90). Aldershot: Edward Elgar.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (1992). On the method of isolation in economics. In C. Dilworth (Ed.), Idealization IV: Intelligibility in science, Poznan studies in the philosophy of the sciences and the humanities (Vol. 26, pp. 317–351). Amsterdam: Rodopi.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (1994). Reorienting the assumptions issue. In R. Backhouse (Ed.), New directions in economic methodology (pp. 236–256). London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (2001). Models. In N. Smelser & N. Baltes (Eds.), International encyclopedia of the social and behavioral sciences (Vol. 15, pp. 9931–9937). Amsterdam: Elsevier.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (2006). Remarks on models and their truth. Storia del Pensiero Economico, 3(1), 7–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (2009). MISSing the world. Models as isolations and credible surrogate systems. Erkenntnis, 70(1), 29–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (2011). Models and the locus of their truth. Synthese, 180(1), 47–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mäki, U. (2013). On a paradox of truth, or how not to obscure the issue of whether explanatory models can be true. Journal of Economic Methodology, 20(3), 268–279.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Morgan, M. (2012). The world in the model: How economists work and think. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Morgan, M., & Knuuttila, T. (2012). Models and modeling in economics. In U. Mäki (Ed.), Philosophy of economics. Handbook of the philosophy of science (Vol. 13, pp. 49–87). Amsterdam: Elsevier.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morgan, M., & Morrison, M. (1999). Models as mediators: Perspectives on natural and social science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Mumford, S. (2013). The power of power. In R. Groff & J. Greco (Eds.), Powers and capacities in philosophy. The new aristotelianism (pp. 9–24). New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Musgrave, A. (1981). Unreal assumptions in economic theory: The F-twist untwisted. Kyklos, 34(3), 377–387.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Niiniluoto, I. (2002). Critical scientific realism. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Niiniluoto, I. (2012). The verisimilitude of economic models. In A. Lehtinen, J. Kuorikoski, & P. Ylikoski (Eds.), Economics for real: Uskali Mäki and the place of truth in economics (pp. 65–80). New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, L. (1992). The idealizational approach to science: A survey. Poznań Studies in the Philosophy of the Sciences and Humanities, 25, 9–63.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nowak, L. (1994). The idealization methodology and economics. In B. Hamminga & N. de Marchi (Eds.), Idealization in economics (pp. 303–336). Amsterdam: Rodopi.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pissarides, C. A. (2000). Equilibrium unemployment theory. Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Popper, K. (1963/2002). Conjectures and refutations: The growth of scientific knowledge. New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reiss, J. (2008a). Social capacities. In S. Hartmann, C. Hoefer, & L. Bovens (Eds.), Nancy Cartwright’s philosophy of science (pp. 265–288). New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reiss, J. (2008b). Error in economics: The methodology of evidence-based economics. London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reiss, J. (2012). The explanation paradox. Journal of Economic Methodology, 19(1), 43–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Salmon, W. C. (1989). Four decades of scientific explanation. In P. Kitcher & W. Salmon (Eds.), Scientific explanation: Minnesota studies in the philosophy of science XIII (pp. 3–219). Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Salop, S., & Stiglitz, J. (1977). Bargains and ripoffs: A model of monopolistically competitive price dispersion. Review of Economic Studies, 44(3), 493–510.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schelling, T. C. (1978). Micromotives and macrobehaviour. New York: Norton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shilony, Y. (1977). Mixed pricing in oligopoly. Journal of Economic Theory, 14(2), 373–388.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Steel, D. (2011). Social mechanisms and casual inference. In F. Guala & D. Steel (Eds.), The philosophy of social sciences reader (pp. 119–131). New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Suarez, M. (2010). Fictions, inference, and realism. In J. Woods (Ed.), Fictions and models: New essays (pp. 225–246). Munich: Philosophia Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sugden, R. (2000). Credible worlds: The status of theoretical models in economics. Journal of Economic Methodology, 7(1), 1–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sugden, R. (2009). Credible worlds, capacities and mechanisms. Erkenntnis, 70(1), 3–27.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suppe, F. (1989). The semantic view of theories and scientific realism. Urbana/Chicago: University of Illinois Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • van Fraassen, B. C. (1980). The scientific image. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Varian, H. R. (1980). A model of sales. The American Economic Review, 70(4), 651–659.

    Google Scholar 

  • Woodward, J. (1999). Causal interpretation in systems of equations. Synthese, 121(1/2), 199–257.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Woodward, J. (2000). Explanation and invariance in the special sciences. The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 51(2), 197–254.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Woodward, J. (2002). What is a mechanism? A counterfactual account. Philosophy of Science, 69(3), 366–377.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Woodward, J. (2003). Making things happen. A theory of causal explanation. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ylikoski, P., & Kuorikoski, J. (2010). Dissecting explanatory power. Philosophical Studies, 148(2), 201–219.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zeidler, P. (2013). Models and metaphors as research tools in science. A philosophical, methodological and semiotic study of science. Zürich/Berlin: LIT Verlag.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Hardt, Ł. (2017). Between Isolations and Constructions: Economic Models as Believable Worlds. In: Economics Without Laws. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54861-6_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54861-6_5

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-54860-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-54861-6

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics