Skip to main content

Policy of Inflation Targeting in the Presence of Budget Deficits and Hyperinflation: Difference-in-Differences Estimation

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Regional Studies on Economic Growth, Financial Economics and Management

Part of the book series: Eurasian Studies in Business and Economics ((EBES,volume 7))

  • 770 Accesses

Abstract

The majority of macroeconomic theories assume that budget deficits are the causes of macroeconomic instability and inflation. With the implementation of the inflation targeting strategy, this relationship was limited and sometimes it has not been empirically justified in emerging countries. In this paper, our aim is to show the effect of the inflation targeting policy on inflation or hyperinflation, economic growth and budget deficits. In empirical work, we use a sample of 50 emerging economies, which 30 countries are not yet adopted inflation targeting and 20 countries that adopt this strategy for the period 1980–2014. The findings show that inflation targeting contributes to the reduction of hyperinflation and budget deficits in emerging countries.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Abbas, S. A., Belhocine, N., El Ganainy, A., & Horton, M. (2010). A historical public debt database (IMF Working Papers 10/245). Washington: International Monetary Fund.

    Google Scholar 

  • Amato, J. D., & Gerlach, S. (2002). Inflation targeting in emerging market and transition economies: Lessons after a decade. European Economic Review, 46(4–5), 781–790.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ball, L., & Sheridan, N. (2003). Does inflation targeting matter? (NBER Working Paper 9577).

    Google Scholar 

  • Ball, L., & Sheridan, N. (2005). Does inflation targeting matter? In B. S. Bernanke & M. Woodford (Eds.), The Inflation Targeting Debate, NBER Studies in Business Cycles (Vol. 32). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Batini, N., & Laxton, D. (2006). Under what conditions can inflation targeting be adopted? The experience of emerging markets (Central Bank of Chile Working Papers No 406).

    Google Scholar 

  • Bernanke, B. S., & Mishkin, F. S. (1997). Inflation targeting: A new framework for monetary policy? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(2), 97–116.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bernanke, B. S., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F. S., & Posen, A. S. (1999). Inflation targeting: Lessons from the international experience. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blanchard O., Dell’Ariccia, G., & Mauro, P. (2010). Rethinking macroeconomic policy (IMF Staff Position Note, 03).

    Google Scholar 

  • Blinder, A. (2000). Central bank credibility: Why do we care? How do we built it? American Economic Review, 90(5), 1421–1431.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Catao, L. A. V., & Terrones, M. E. (2005). Fiscal deficits and inflation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(3), 529–554.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cecchetti, S., & Krause, S. (2002, July/August). Central bank structure, policy efficiency, and macroeconomic performance: Exploring empirical relationships. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 47–60.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cecchetti, S. G., Flores-Lagunes, A., & Krause, S. (2006). Has monetary policy become more efficient? Across-country analysis. Economic Journal, 116(511), 408–433.

    Google Scholar 

  • Corbo, V., Landerretche, O., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2002). Does inflation targeting make a difference? In N. Loayza & R. Soto (Eds.), Inflation targeting: Design, performance, challenges (pp. 221–269). Santiago: Banco Central de Chile.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Mendonça, H. F., & de Guimarães e Souza, G. J. (2012). Is inflation targeting a good remedy to control inflation? Journal of Development Economics, 98(2), 178–191.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R., & Fischer, S. (1993). Moderate inflation. World Bank Economic Review, 7(1), 1–44.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dueker, M., & Fisher, M. A. (1996). Do inflation targets redefine central bank inflation preferences? Results from an indicator model. In J. A. J. Koos Alders, K. G. Kees Koedijk, C. J. M. Clemens Kool, & C. C. M. Carlo Winder (Eds.), Monetary policy in converging Europe (pp. 21–37). Boston: Kluwer/Springer.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Fatás, A., & Mihov, I. (2007). Fiscal discipline, volatility and growth. In G. E. Perry, L. Serven, & R. Suescun (Eds.), Fiscal policy stabilization and growth: Prudence or abstinence? Washington, DC: World Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischer, S., Sahay, R., & Vegh, C. A. (2002). Modern hyper- and high inflations. Journal of Economic Literature, 40(3), 837–880.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ftiti, Z., & Essadi, E. (2013). Relevance of the inflation targeting policy. Journal of Economic and Financial Modeling, 1(1), 62–72.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gonçalves, C. E. S., & Carvalho, A. (2008). Who chooses to inflation target? Economics Letters, 99(2), 410–413.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gonçalves, C. E. S., & Salles, J. M. (2008). Inflation targeting in emerging economies: What do the data say? Journal of Development Economics, 85, 312–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kadria, M., & Ben Aissa, S. (2016). Inflation targeting and public deficit in emerging countries: A time varying treatment effect approach. Economic Modeling, 52(1), 108–114.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Leiderman, L., & Svensson, L. E. O. (1995). Inflation targets. Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR, London) (Eds.), distributed in North America by the Brookings Institution, Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lin, S., & Ye, H. (2009). Does inflation targeting make a difference in developing countries? Journal of Development Economics, 89, 118–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lin, S., & Ye, H. (2012). What to Target? Inflation or exchange rate. Southern Economic Journal, 78(4), 1202–1221.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lucotte, Y. (2012). Adoption of inflation targeting and tax revenue performance in emerging market economies: An empirical investigation. Economic Systems, 387(20), 609–628.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manai, O. D. (2016). Enhanced economic stability and the role of inflation targeting policy: Empirical study on case of developing countries. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 6(6), 352–362.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mishkin, F. S., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference? (NBER Working Paper No. 12876).

    Google Scholar 

  • Neumann, J. M., & Von Hagen, J. (2002, July/August). Does inflation targeting matter? Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 127–148.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roger, S. (2009). Inflation targeting at 20: Achievements and challenges (IMF Working Paper, WP/09/236).

    Google Scholar 

  • Samaryna, H., & De Haan, J. (2011). Right on target: Exploring the determinants of inflation targeting adoption (DNB Working Paper 321. De Nederlandsche Bank).

    Google Scholar 

  • Sims, C. A. (2009). Inflation expectations, uncertainty and monetary policy (BIS Working Papers No. 275, Bank for International Settlements).

    Google Scholar 

  • Svensson, L. E. O. (1997). Inflation targeting in an open economy: Strict or flexible inflation targeting? (Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/8, Reserve Bank of New Zealand).

    Google Scholar 

  • Svensson, L. E. O. (1999). Inflation targeting: Some extensions. Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 101(3), 337–361.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Truman, E. M. (2003). Inflation targeting in the world economy. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vu, U. (2004). Inflation dynamics and monetary policy strategy: Some prospects for the Turkish economy. Journal of Policy Modeling, 26(8–9), 1003–1013.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Amel Hedhli .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Appendix

Appendix

Table 6 20 Inflation targeting countries and 30 non inflation targeting countries
Table 7 Adoption of inflation targeting

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Cite this paper

Daboussi, O.M., Hedhli, A. (2017). Policy of Inflation Targeting in the Presence of Budget Deficits and Hyperinflation: Difference-in-Differences Estimation. In: Bilgin, M., Danis, H., Demir, E., Can, U. (eds) Regional Studies on Economic Growth, Financial Economics and Management. Eurasian Studies in Business and Economics, vol 7. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-54112-9_6

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics