Abstract
Demographics drive all aspects of school district management, and student population and enrollment forecasts represent integral components of the management process. In this chapter, we briefly review the history of the development of methods used for student population and enrollment forecasting before describing how cohort change ratios can be used in this process. We cover both short-term and long-term forecasting needs and describe methods that can be used in conjunction with the cohort change ratio approach, giving examples. We conclude the chapter with a discussion on the accuracy and utility of the CCR method regarding its use for forecasting student populations and enrollment.
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Baker, J., Swanson, D.A., Tayman, J., Tedrow, L.M. (2017). Forecasting School Enrollment Size and Composition. In: Cohort Change Ratios and their Applications. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-53745-0_7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-53745-0_7
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