Skip to main content

A Novel Approach to Predict Retweets and Replies Based on Privacy and Complexity-Aware Feature Planes

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
  • 2644 Accesses

Part of the book series: Studies in Computational Intelligence ((SCI,volume 693))

Abstract

An efficient tweet dissemination predictor for retweets and replies is central both to a better understanding of influentials (people and messages), as well as of how social media revenue models can be better monetized. Traditionally research concentrated on retweets popularity and information cascades while neglecting the importance of features richness and classification. We propose a novel approach that introduces feature planes for better prediction of single step tweet dissemination. We show that our model can achieve a quasi-perfect prediction. This promises to be a seminal step towards a better understanding of data dissemination in social networks.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Arnaboldi, V., Conti, M., Passarella, A., Pezzoni, F.: Ego networks in twitter: an experimental analysis. In: Proceedings of IEEE INFOCOM, pp. 3459–3464 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Boyd, D., Golder, S., Lotan, G.: Tweet, tweet, retweet: Conversational aspects of retweeting on twitter. In: System Sciences (HICSS), 2010 43rd Hawaii International Conference on, pp. 1–10. IEEE (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Chen, K., Chen, T., Zheng, G., Jin Ou and Yao, E., Yu, Y.: Collaborative personalized tweet recommendation. In: Proceedings of the 35th international ACM SIGIR conference on Research and development in information retrieval, pp. 661–670 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Cheng, J.C., Adamic, L., Dow, A.P., Kleinberg, H.M., Leskovec, J.: Can cascades be predicted? In: Proceedings of the 23rd international conference on World wide web, pp. 925–936 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Ferrara, E., Yang, Z.: Quantifying the effect of sentiment on information diffusion in social media. In: ArXiv preprints (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Galuba, W., Aberer, K., Chakraborty, D., Despotovic, Z., Kellerer, W.: Outtweeting the twitterers - predicting information cascades in microblogs. In: Proceedings of the 3rd Wonference on Online social networks, pp. 3–3 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Gan, D., Jenkins, L.R.: Social networking privacywhos stalking you? Future Internet 7(1), 67–93 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Hoang, T.A., Lim, E.P.: Virality and susceptibility in information diffusions. In: Sixth International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Hong, L., Doumith, A., Davison, B.D.: Personalized retweet prediction in twitter. In: 4th Workshop on Information in Networks (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Kelley, P.G., Cranshaw, J.: Conducting research on twitter: A call for guidelines and metrics (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Martin, T., Hofman, J.M., Sharma, A., Anderson, A.,Watts, D.J.: Exploring limits to prediction in complex social systems. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on World Wide Web, pp. 683–694 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Myers, S.A., Zhu, C., Leskovec, J.: Information diffusion and external influence in networks. In: Proceedings of the 18th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining, pp. 33–41 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Petrovic, S., Osborne, M., Lavrenko, V.: Rt to win! predicting message propagation in twitter. In: ICWSM (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Pezzoni, F., An, J., Passarella, A., Crowcroft, J., Conti, M.: Why do i retweet it? an information propagation model for microblogs. In: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Social Informatics, pp. 360–369 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Salganik, M.J., Dodds, P.S., Watts, D.J.: Experimental study of inequality and unpredictability in an artificial cultural market. Science 311(5762), 854–856 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Yang, J., Counts, S.: Predicting the speed, scale, and range of information diffusion in twitter. In: In 4th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Yuan, N.J., Zhong, Y., Zhang, F., Xie, X., Lin, C.Y., Rui, Y.: Who will reply to/retweet this tweet?: The dynamics of intimacy from online social interactions. In: Proceedings of the Ninth ACM International Conference on Web Search and Data Mining, pp. 3–12 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kamini Garg .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Cite this paper

Garg, K., Arnaboldi, V., Giordano, S. (2017). A Novel Approach to Predict Retweets and Replies Based on Privacy and Complexity-Aware Feature Planes. In: Cherifi, H., Gaito, S., Quattrociocchi, W., Sala, A. (eds) Complex Networks & Their Applications V. COMPLEX NETWORKS 2016 2016. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 693. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50901-3_37

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50901-3_37

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-50900-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-50901-3

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics