Skip to main content

Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Water Transport Networks with Demand Forecast Uncertainty

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Real-time Monitoring and Operational Control of Drinking-Water Systems

Abstract

Two formulations of the stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) problem for the control of large-scale drinking-water networks are presented in this chapter. The first approach, named chance-constrained MPC, makes use of the assumption that the uncertain future water demands follow some known continuous probability distribution while at the same time, certain risk (probability) for the state constraints to be violated is allocated. The second approach, named tree-based MPC, does not require any assumptions on the probability distribution of the demand estimates, but brings about a complexity that is harder to handle by conventional computational tools and calls for more elaborate algorithms and the possible utilization of sophisticated devices.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    If \(m<n_u\), then multiple solutions exist, so \(\mathbf {u}\) should be selected by means of an optimization problem. Equation (14.1b) implies the possible existence of uncontrollable flows \(\mathbf {d}\) at the junction nodes. Therefore, a subset of the control inputs will be restricted by the domain of some flow demands.

References

  1. Billings RB, Jones CV (2008) Forecasting urban water demand, 2nd edn. American Water Works Association

    Google Scholar 

  2. Biscos C, Mulholland M, Le Lann MV, Buckley CA, Brouckaert CJ (2003) Optimal operation of water distribution networks by predictive control using MINLP. Water SA 29: 393–404

    Google Scholar 

  3. Calafiore G, Dabbene F (2006) Probabilistic and randomized methods for design under uncertainty. Springer

    Google Scholar 

  4. Calafiore G, Dabbene F, Tempo R (2011) Research on probabilistic methods for control system design. Automatica 47(7): 1279–1293

    Google Scholar 

  5. Cannon M, Couchman P, Kouvaritakis B (2007) MPC for stochastic systems. In: Findeisen R, Allgöwer F, Biegler L (eds) Assessment and future directions of nonlinear model predictive control, volume 358 of lecture notes in control and information sciences. Springer, Berlin, pp 255–268

    Google Scholar 

  6. Charnes A, Cooper WW (1963) Deterministic equivalents for optimizing and satisfying under chance constraints. Oper Res 11(1): 18–39

    Google Scholar 

  7. Congcong S, Puig V, Cembrano G (2014) Temporal multi-level coordination techniques oriented to regional water networks: application to the Catalunya case study. J Hydroinform 16(4): 952–970

    Google Scholar 

  8. Geletu A, Klöppel M, Zhang H, Li P (2013) Advances and applications of chance-constrained approaches to systems optimization under uncertainty. Int J Syst Sci 44(7): 1209–1232

    Google Scholar 

  9. Grosso JM, Maestre JM, Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V (2014) On the assessment of tree-based and chance-constrained predictive control approaches applied to drinking water networks. In: Proceedings of 19th IFAC world congress, Cape Town, South Africa, pp 6240–6245

    Google Scholar 

  10. Grosso JM, Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V (2012) A service reliability model predictive control with dynamic safety stocks and actuators health monitoring for drinking water networks. In: Proceedings of 51st IEEE annual conference on decision and control (CDC)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Grosso JM, Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V (2012) A service reliability model predictive control with dynamic safety stocks and actuators health monitoring for drinking water networks. In: Proceedings of 51st IEEE annual conference on decision and control (CDC), Maui, Hawaii, USA, pp 4568–4573

    Google Scholar 

  12. Grosso JM, Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V, Joseph B (2014) Chance-constrained model predictive control for drinking water networks. J Process Control 24(5): 504–516

    Google Scholar 

  13. Heitsch H, Römisch W (2009) Scenario tree modeling for multistage stochastic programs. Math Program 118(2): 371–406

    Google Scholar 

  14. Kall P, Mayer J (2005) Stochastic linear programming. Number 80 in international series in operations research and management science. Springer, New York, NY

    Google Scholar 

  15. Korda M, Gondhalekar R, Cigler J, Oldewurtel F (2011) Strongly feasible stochastic model predictive control. In: Proceedings of 50th IEEE conference on decision and control and European control conference (CDC), pp 1245–1251

    Google Scholar 

  16. Leirens S, Zamora C, Negenborn RR, De Schutter B (2010) Coordination in urban water supply networks using distributed model predictive control. In: American control conference (ACC), pp 3957–3962

    Google Scholar 

  17. Lucia S, Subramanian S, Engell S (2013) Non-conservative robust nonlinear model predictive control via scenario decomposition. In: Proceedings of 2013 IEEE multi-conference on systems and control (MSC), Hyderabad, India, pp 586–591

    Google Scholar 

  18. Nemirovski A, Shapiro A (2006) Convex approximations of chance constrained programs. SIAM J Optim 17(4): 969–996

    Google Scholar 

  19. Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V, Cembrano G, Creus R, Minoves M (2009) Improving water management efficiency by using optimization-based control strategies: the Barcelona case study. Water Sci Technol: Water Supply 9(5): 565–575

    Google Scholar 

  20. Ocampo-Martinez C, Puig V, Cembrano G, Quevedo J (2013) Application of predictive control strategies to the management of complex networks in the urban water cycle. IEEE Control Syst 33(1): 15–41

    Google Scholar 

  21. Ono M, Williams BC (2008) Iterative risk allocation: a new approach to robust model predictive control with a joint chance constraint. In: Proceedings of 47th IEEE conference on decision and control, Cancun, Mexico, pp 3427–3432

    Google Scholar 

  22. Ouarda TBMJ, Labadie JW (2001) Chance-constrained optimal control for multireservoir system optimization and risk analysis. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 15: 185–204

    Google Scholar 

  23. Prekopa A (1995) Stochastic programming. Kluwer Academic Publishers

    Google Scholar 

  24. Raso L, van Overloop PJ, Schwanenberg D (2009) Decisions under uncertainty: use of flexible model predictive control on a drainage canal system. In: Proceedings of the 9th conference on hydroinformatics, Tianjin, China

    Google Scholar 

  25. Rockafellar RT, Wets RJ-B (1991) Scenario and policy aggregation in optimization under uncertainty. Math Oper Res 16(1): 119–147

    Google Scholar 

  26. Sampathirao AK, Grosso JM, Sopasakis P, Ocampo-Martinez C, Bemporad A, Puig V (2014) Water demand forecasting for the optimal operation of large-scale drinking water networks: the Barcelona case study. In: Proceedings of 19th IFAC world congress, Cape Town, South Africa, pp 10457–10462

    Google Scholar 

  27. Schildbach G, Fagiano L, Frei C, Morari M (2013) The scenario approach for stochastic model predictive control with bounds on closed-loop constraint violations. Submitted to Automatica

    Google Scholar 

  28. Schwarm AT, Nikolaou M (1999) Chance-constrained model predictive control. AIChE J 45(8): 1743–1752

    Google Scholar 

  29. van Overloop PJ, van Clemmens AJ, Strand RJ, Wagemaker RMJ, Bautista E (2010) Real-time implementation of model predictive control on Maricopa-Stanfield irrigation and drainage district’s WM canal. J Irrig Drain Eng 136(11): 747–756

    Google Scholar 

  30. Zafra-Cabeza A, Maestre JM, Ridao MA, Camacho EF, Sánchez L (2011) A hierarchical distributed model predictive control approach in irrigation canals: a risk mitigation perspective. J Process Control 21(5):787–799

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Carlos Ocampo-Martínez .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Grosso, J.M., Ocampo-Martínez, C., Puig, V. (2017). Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Water Transport Networks with Demand Forecast Uncertainty. In: Puig, V., Ocampo-Martínez, C., Pérez, R., Cembrano, G., Quevedo, J., Escobet, T. (eds) Real-time Monitoring and Operational Control of Drinking-Water Systems. Advances in Industrial Control. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50751-4_14

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50751-4_14

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-50750-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-50751-4

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics