Abstract
Japanese agriculture is in a bad way. Massive government subsidies and high import tariffs have failed to stem the inexorable tide of declining productivity, increasing import dependence, and falling area of land under cultivation. Against this backdrop those calling for the liberalization of the agricultural sector have gained ground in recent years. Yet agricultural policy, be it in Japan or elsewhere, is determined by much more than efficiency and comparative advantage. Indeed, the patterns of production, distribution, and consumption of food in Japan are subject to a variety of factors, including identity politics, perceptions of food risks, and rural policy. The main factor in post-war Japanese agricultural politics was the cultivation of rural support by the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), aided by the disparity in weight of rural versus urban votes. The result was a system where the LDP ensured high prices for farmers by effectively limiting foreign competition, and in return enjoyed the support of rural Japan. This chapter argues that today, regional geopolitics is supplanting rural votes as the key factor in Japan’s agricultural policy.
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Notes
- 1.
For identity politics see also Farina in this volume, perceptions of food risks are also discussed by Reiher, Takeda and Walravens, and rural policy is the topic of Jentzsch’s contribution in this volume.
- 2.
Malapportionment – despite the large-scale post-war migration from rural constituencies to urban ones, these constituencies were left as they were. The result: votes of rural dwellers came to be worth as much as four or five times as much as those of their urban counterparts.
- 3.
The ‘pivot’ was renamed ‘rebalance’ due to the fear that a ‘pivot’ would imply the USA was winding down its activities and presence in the Middle East.
- 4.
Carter, ‘Remarks on the Next Phase of the U.S. Rebalance to the Asia-Pacific’, (lecture, McCain Institute, Arizona State University, April 6, 2015).
- 5.
Naoi and Urata, ‘Free Trade Agreements’, 326–349; Solís and Katada, ‘Unlikely Pivotal States’; Harada, ‘Japan’s Agriculture and the TPP’.
- 6.
For an outline of the implications of the TPP for Japan, see Cooper and Manyin, ‘Japan Joins the Trans-Pacific Partnership’.
- 7.
George Mulgan, Japan’s Agricultural Policy Regime.
- 8.
Ibid, 276.
- 9.
Kan, ‘A Message from the Prime Minister’.
- 10.
Solis and Katada, ‘Unlikely Pivotal States’.
- 11.
Solis, ‘Japan’s Big Bet’.
- 12.
Liberal Democratic Party of Japan, Election Manifesto, (2012).
- 13.
‘Noda to tell Obama Japan Positive about TPP’.
- 14.
Pekkanen and Pekkanen, ‘All about Abe’; Hobson, ‘The Tragedy of Shinzo Abe’.
- 15.
United States Department of Agriculture, ‘Fact Sheet’.
- 16.
‘TPP gōi ikinai no hanei to antei no ishizue ni’.
- 17.
Clinton, ‘America’s Pacific Century.
- 18.
Campbell and Ratner, ‘Far Eastern Promises’.
- 19.
Kobayashi, ‘TPP’s Fate Rests with Japan, US’.
- 20.
The 47 billion claim comes from the Petersen Institute, as cited in Vanderklippe, ‘TPP Deal a Way for US to Reassert Primacy over China’; the 100 billion comes from Davis, ‘US Blocks China Efforts to Promote Asia Trade Pact’.
- 21.
Auslin. ‘Getting It Right’.
- 22.
For example, Itakura and Lee, ‘The Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership for Japan’.
- 23.
O’Shea, ‘Overestimating the “Power Shift”’.
- 24.
Ibid. See also Hughes, ‘The Democratic Party’.
- 25.
Auslin, ‘Getting it Right’, 29.
- 26.
Ibid, 29.
- 27.
O’Shea, ‘The East China Sea Maritime and Territorial Dispute’.
- 28.
Quoted in Mie, Ayako, ‘Stop Foot-Dragging on China’s Threat: Maher’.
- 29.
Maslow, ‘A Blueprint for a Strong Japan’.
- 30.
Quoted in Hiroko Tabuchi, ‘Japan Moves to Enter Talks on Pacific Trade’.
- 31.
Harada, ‘Japan’s Agriculture and the TPP’.
- 32.
Yamashita, ‘Ensuring Japan’s Food Security’.
- 33.
OECD, Producer and Consumer Support Estimates Database.
- 34.
Naoi and Urata, ‘Free Trade Agreements and Domestic Politics’.
- 35.
Yamashita, ‘The Perilous Decline of Japanese Agriculture’.
- 36.
Harada, ‘Japan’s Agriculture and the TPP’.
- 37.
As demand for rice has decreased consistently since the early 1960s, the government’s gentan programme keeps prices high by reducing supply through payments to farmers to leave their rice paddies fallow.
- 38.
Yamashita, ‘Ensuring Japan’s Food Security’.
- 39.
Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries, ‘What Is Multifunctionality of Agriculture?’.
- 40.
George Mulgan, Japan’s Agricultural Policy Regime, 167.
- 41.
Ibid, 29.
- 42.
Yoshida, ‘Japan Farmers’.
- 43.
Brooks and Cahill, ‘Why Agricultural Trade Liberalisation Matters’; Tokarick, ‘Dispelling Some Misconceptions’.
- 44.
Naoi and Urata, ‘Free Trade Agreements and Domestic Politics’.
- 45.
Ibid.
- 46.
George Mulgan, ‘Abe’s “Growth” Strategy’.
- 47.
Harada, ‘Japan’s Agriculture and the TPP’; Auslin, ‘Getting it Right’.
- 48.
Godo, ‘The Puzzle of Small Farming in Japan’. Godo and Takahashi, ‘Evaluation of Japanese Agricultural Policy’.
- 49.
Tanaka and Hosoe, ‘Does Agricultural Trade Liberalization Increase Risks’.
- 50.
Solis and Katada, ‘Unlikely Pivotal States’; Naoi and Urata, ‘Free Trade Agreements and Domestic Politics’.
- 51.
Tabuchi, ‘Japan Moves to Enter Talks’.
- 52.
Asia pivot renamed rebalance, see endnote 2.
- 53.
Headey, ‘Rethinking the Global Food Crisis’.
- 54.
Koizumi, ‘Biofuel and Food Security’.
- 55.
Morita, ‘Introduction’.
- 56.
Hook, Mason, and O’Shea, Regional Risk.
- 57.
Harada, ‘Japan’s Agriculture and the TPP’.
- 58.
Ibid.
- 59.
George Mulgan, ‘Abe’s “Growth” Strategy; Yamashita, ‘Ensuring Japan’s Food Security’.
- 60.
Takada, ‘Lobby Turf as Abe Reforms Farming’.
- 61.
Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations, ‘Trade Reforms’, 29.
- 62.
Tokarick, ‘Dispelling Some Misconceptions’.
- 63.
George Mulgan, ‘Japanese Agricultural Reform’.
- 64.
Ibid.
- 65.
Tanaka and Hosoe, ‘Does Agricultural Trade Liberalization Increase Risks’.
- 66.
Headey, ‘Rethinking the Global Food Crisis’.
- 67.
Ito, ‘Japan’s Rice Policy’.
- 68.
Ibid.
- 69.
‘TPP Gōi Ikinai no Hanei to Antei no Ishizue ni’, Asahi Shimbun; Yoshida. ‘Japan Farmers’; Yamashita, ‘Ensuring Japan’s Food Security’, Yamashita, ‘Japan’s Perilous Decline’.
- 70.
United States Department of Agriculture, ‘Fact Sheet’.
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O’Shea, P. (2017). The Trans-Pacific Partnership, Import Dependency, and the Future of Food Security in Japan. In: Niehaus, A., Walravens, T. (eds) Feeding Japan. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50553-4_15
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