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A Probability Based Approach to Evaluation of New Energy Alternatives

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Integrated Uncertainty in Knowledge Modelling and Decision Making (IUKM 2016)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 9978))

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Abstract

Exploitation of new and innovative energy alternatives is a key means toward a sustainable energy system. This paper proposes a novel model for linguistic energy planning with an application to public transportation. In particular, a probability based approach is firstly introduced to perform group aggregation based on a random interpretation of an evaluation-team’s judgments. Secondly, a weighted approach is proposed to perform multi-criteria aggregation based on the concept of stochastic dominance degree, which results with a matrix of overall stochastic dominance degrees of different alternatives. Thirdly, a choice function based on the idea of the PROMETHEE-II method is developed to rank and select the best/desired alternative(s), which can divide the alternatives into two classes: positive (acceptable) and negative (unacceptable) ones. Our model is used to re-evaluate the technological development of public transportation with 12 alternative fuel modes.

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Acknowledgement

We would like to appreciate constructive comments and valuable suggestions from the anonymous referees. This study was partly supported by the National Natural Sciences Foundation of China (NSFC) under grant no. 71471063; sponsored by the Innovation Program of Shanghai Municipal Education Commission under grant no. 14ZS060; and supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities in China under grant no. WN1516009.

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Correspondence to Hong-Bin Yan .

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Yan, HB. (2016). A Probability Based Approach to Evaluation of New Energy Alternatives. In: Huynh, VN., Inuiguchi, M., Le, B., Le, B., Denoeux, T. (eds) Integrated Uncertainty in Knowledge Modelling and Decision Making. IUKM 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9978. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49046-5_7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-49046-5_7

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-49045-8

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