Abstract
In this chapter, assuming two assets of money and the claims on physical capital, we examine the effect of an increase in life expectancy on portfolio choices of individuals between these two assets. Money is introduced based on the money-in-the-utility-function approach. With capital externalities as an engine of growth, changes in portfolios of individuals affect the economic growth rate.
This chapter is the revised and expanded version of Yakita (2006).
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Notes
- 1.
- 2.
- 3.
- 4.
For simplicity we assume that an individual does not hold real balances at the end of his second period. Drazen (1981), considering instead the case in which money provides utility in both periods of life, showed that the effect of inflation on capital may depend on the seigniorage transfer policy.
- 5.
We assume here that \( 0<\mu <1 \), for example, on an annual base, although it is not necessarily needed for our result.
- 6.
Since the labor supply per worker is unity, L t is equal to the number of workers.
- 7.
The negative relation between growth and inflation is often documented in cross country data, e.g., Gomme (1993). Although Roubini and Sala-i-Martin (1992) argued that the negative correlation is likely to be spurious as both are caused by policies in financial repression, the negative correlation obtained in our study is conditional on the life expectancy variable.
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- 9.
This is a version of the AK model and, therefore, there is no transition and π is a jump variable.
- 10.
Otherwise, if the monetary policy maintains \( 1+\mu =\left(1+ g\right) n \) and hence \( \pi =0 \), increases in the longevity do not affect the relative return rate on money holdings and hence portfolio choices of individuals since the balanced-equilibrium inflation rate is zero.
- 11.
A greater η and/or a higher r tend to make the left-hand side smaller, while higher r is associated with higher ω/a when \( 1>\left( af\hbox{'}/ f\right)\left[1-\left( af"/ f\hbox{'}\right)\right] \). The condition is satisfied when \( f(a)= A{a}^{\alpha} \) (\( 0< A;0<\alpha <1 \)).
- 12.
Although \( \left(\partial \chi /\partial \pi \right)-\left(\partial \varphi /\partial \pi \right)<0 \) (see Appendix 1.1), it should be noted that π may not be monotonic in p when the growth rate of money supply, μ, is constant and relatively high enough for (2.19) to be satisfied. If the inflation rate reaches \( \pi =\eta \left[1/\left(1+ r\right)\right]+\left(1-\eta \right)\left[\mu /\left(\omega / a\right)\right]-1 \), either from above or from below, an increase in life expectancy no longer affects the inflation rate and hence economic growth. The effect of changes in μ is shown in Appendix 1.2.
- 13.
This numerical example is the same as that given in Yakita (2006).
- 14.
A smaller η makes the inflation rate slightly lower and the growth rate slightly higher in each case. We have similar numerical results in the case of a CES production function.
- 15.
We can show that a higher rate of time discount factor leads to lower growth rates and higher inflation rates.
- 16.
For a survey of a different approach and its results, see, for example, Orphanides and Solow (1990). Based on the cash-and-credit goods approach with a cash-in-advance constraint á la Lucas and Stokey (1983) and Batina and Ihori (2000), we can show that an increase in life expectancy leads to higher growth and lower inflation. The cash-in-advance constraint approach will be adopted in Chap. 5.
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Appendix 1
Appendix 1
1.1 1.1 Uniqueness of Balanced-Growth Equilibrium
The left- and right-hand sides of (2.17) are
and
as depicted in Fig. 2.1. φ(π) is a quadratic function of π and has two intersections with the horizontal axis at \( -1 \) and \( \left\{\left[1-\eta \frac{1}{1+\rho}\right]/\left[\left(1+ r\right)\left(1-\frac{1}{1+\rho}\right)\right]\right\}-1 \), while χ(π) is a line and intersects the axis of the abscissa at \( {\left\{\left(1+ r\right)\left[1-\left(1-\eta \right)\frac{1}{1+\rho}\frac{\mu}{1+\mu}\right]\right\}}^{-1}-1 \). Since we can easily see that \( \left\{\left[1-\eta \frac{1}{1+\rho}\right]/\left[\left(1+ r\right)\left(1-\frac{1}{1+\rho}\right)\right]\right\}-1>{\left\{\left(1+ r\right)\left[1-\left(1-\eta \right)\frac{1}{1+\rho}\frac{\mu}{1+\mu}\right]\right\}}^{-1}-1 \) for \( p,\eta \in \left(0,1\right) \), Eq. (2.17) has two real roots, π ℓ and π h , such that \( -1<{\pi}_{\ell } \) \( <{\left\{\left(1+ r\right)\left[1-\left(1-\eta \right)\frac{1}{1+\rho}\frac{\mu}{1+\mu}\right]\right\}}^{-1}-1 \) \( <{\pi}_h \) (see Fig. 2.1). With condition (2.18), however, the smaller root, π ℓ , is not a solution to our model.
Therefore, solving (2.17) for π, we obtain
where
from which it follows that
This implies that \( \frac{\partial \chi}{\partial \pi}-\frac{\partial \varphi}{\partial \pi}<0 \). Thus, we have \( sign\left(\frac{d\pi}{d p}\right)= sign\left(\frac{\partial \chi}{\partial p}-\frac{\partial \varphi}{\partial p}\right) \).
1.2 1.2 Increase in the Growth Rate of Money Supply
Differentiating χ(π; μ), we have
from which it follows that
Since we can easily see that
while taking (2.18) into account, it follows that \( \pi -\left\{{\left(1+ r\right)}^{-1}{\left[1-\left(1-\eta \right)\frac{1}{1+\rho}\right]}^{-1}-1\right\}>0 \). The curve φ(π) does not depend on μ, so the upward shift of χ(π; μ) increases the inflation rate.
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Yakita, A. (2017). Life Expectancy, Money, and Growth. In: Population Aging, Fertility and Social Security. Population Economics. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47644-5_2
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