Abstract
In this paper, we explore data collected in a pilot project that used a digital camera and facial recognition to detect foot traffic to a sports store. Using a time series approach, we model daily incoming store traffic under three classes (all faces, female, male) and compare six forecasting approaches, including Holt-Winters (HW), a Support Vector Machine (SVM) and a HW-SVM hybrid that includes other data features (e.g., weather conditions). Several experiments were held, under a robust rolling windows scheme that considers up to one week ahead predictions and two metrics (predictive error and estimated store benefit). Overall, competitive results were achieved by the SVM (all faces), HW (female) and HW-SVM (male) methods, which can potentially lead to valuable gains (e.g., enhancing store marketing or human resource management).
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Acknowledgments
This work has been supported by COMPETE: POCI-01-0145-FEDER-007043 and FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia within the Project Scope: UID/CEC/00319/2013.
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Cortez, P., Matos, L.M., Pereira, P.J., Santos, N., Duque, D. (2017). Forecasting Store Foot Traffic Using Facial Recognition, Time Series and Support Vector Machines. In: Graña, M., López-Guede, J.M., Etxaniz, O., Herrero, Á., Quintián, H., Corchado, E. (eds) International Joint Conference SOCO’16-CISIS’16-ICEUTE’16. SOCO CISIS ICEUTE 2016 2016 2016. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 527. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47364-2_26
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