Abstract
Dollarization which is mostly observed in developing countries has been a widely disputed topic in the literature. It occurs due to high inflation and macroeconomic instabilities. In the previous studies the effects, causes and determinants of dollarization were analyzed using the econometric techniques such as co-integration, vector error correction model and vector autoregressive models for multivariate time series methods. We investigate the relationship between dollarization and its determinants such as interest rate differential, Istanbul stock exchange index, central bank reserve ratio, expected inflation, expected depreciation and volatility index using data between 2001 and 2014 for Turkish economy using Geweke linear feedback, causality tests in frequency domain and the wavelet comovement analysis.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
To conserve space we only report the figures for the whole period, but stil keep the interpretation of the results for the sub-samples. The remaining figures are available from the author upon request.
- 2.
- 3.
Please see Rua (2010) for details.
- 4.
Turkish people have the perception that foreign currency is a financial asset which has been well documented in the 2001 economic crisis. Although, this belief has somewhat changed during the period 2002–2007, once the depreciation of Turkish currency especially against the dolar has started, even small domestic investors prefer to switch to foreign Exchange, nomatter what the amount is.
References
Akçay OC, Alper CE, Karasulu M (1997) Currency substitution and exchange rate instability: the Turkish case. Eur Econ Rev 41:827–835. doi:10.1016/S0014-2921(97)00040-8
Akıncı O (2003) Modeling the demand for currency issued in Turkey. Central Bank Rev 1:1–25. ISSN 1303-0701
Bacha EL, Holland M, Goncalves FM (2007) Is Brazil different? Risk, dollarization, and interest rates in emerging markets, International Monetary Fund working paper, WP/07/294
Bahmani-Oskooee M, Domac I (2002) On the link between dollarization and inflation: evidence from Turkey. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, Discussion paper
Bahmani-Oskooee M, Karacal M (2006) The demand for money in Turkey and currency substitution. Appl Econ Lett 13:635–42. doi:10.1080/13504850500358819
Breitung J, Candelon B (2006) Testing for short and long-run causality: a frequency domain approach. J Econ 132:363–378. doi:10.1016/j.jeconom.2005.02.004
Calvo GA, Vegh CA (1992) Currency substitution in developing countries: an introduction. Revista de Analisis Economico 7(1):3–28
Civcir I (2003) Dollarization and its long-run determinants in Turkey. Middle East Econ Ser 6
Domac I, Oskooee MB (2002) On the link between dollarization and inflation: evidence from Turkey. Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey discussion papers no 1217
Galindo A, ve Leiderman L (2005) Living with dollarization and the route to de-dollarization, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department working paper no 526
Gencay R, Selcuk F, Witcher B (2001) Differentiating intraday seasonalities through wavelet multi-scaling. Phys A 289:543–556. doi:10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00463-5
Geweke J (1982) Measurement of linear dependence and feedback between multiple time series. J Am Stat Assoc 77:304–324. doi:10.1080/01621459.1982.10477803
Giovannini A (1991) Currency substitution and monetary policy. In: Wihlborg C et al (eds) Financial regulation and monetary arrangements after 1992. North Holland, Amsterdam, pp 203–216
Giovannini A, Turtelboom B (1994) Currency substitution. In: Van der Ploeg F (ed) The handbook of international macroeconomics. Blackwell, Malden, MA, pp 390–436
Girton L, Roper D (1981) Theory and implications of currency substitution. J Money Credit Bank 13(1):13–30. doi:10.2307/1991805
Granger CWJ (1969) Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37(3):424–438. doi:10.2307/1912791
Guidotti PE (1993) Currency substitution and financial innovation. J Money Credit Bank 25(1):109–124. doi:10.2307/2077823
Gunes H, Uzun S (2010) Differences in expectation formation of consumers in emerging and industrialized markets. Paper presented at 69th International Atlantic Economic Society Conference, March, Prague
Kamin SB, Ericsson NR (1993) Dollarization in Argentina, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International finance discussion papers, 460
Kruger R, Ha J (1995) Measurement of cocirculation of currencies, IMF working paper no 95/34
McKinnon R (1985) Two concepts of international currency substitution. In: Connolly MD, McDermott J (eds) The economics of the Caribbean Basin. Praeger, New York, pp 101–113
Mecagni M, Corrales JS, Dridi J, Garcia-Verdu R, Imam P, Matz J, Macario C, Narita F, Pani M, Rosales M, Weber S, Yehove E (2015) Dollarization in Sub-Saharan Africa, experience and lessons. International Monetary Fund, African Department. ISBN: 978-1-49836-847-6. doi:10.1093/jae/ejv020
Miles MA (1978) Currency substitution, flexible exchange rates and monetary independence. Am Econ Rev 68(3):428–436
Ortiz G (1983) Currency substitution in Mexico: the dollarization problem. J Money Credit Bank 15:174–185. doi:10.2307/1992398
Rua A (2010) Measuring comovement in the time–frequency space. J Macroecon 32:685–691. doi:10.1016/j.jmacro.2009.12.005
Selcuk F (1994) Currency substitution in Turkey. Appl Econ 26(5):509–522. doi:10.1080/00036849400000019
Selcuk F (1997) GMM estimation of currency substitution in a high inflation economy. Appl Econ Lett 4(4):225–228. doi:10.1080/758518499
Thomas LR (1985) Portfolio theory and currency substitution. J Money Credit Bank 17(3):347–357. doi:10.2307/1992629
Vegia F (2006) Currency substitution, portfolio diversification and money demand. Can J Econ 39(3):719–743. doi:10.1111/j.1540-5982.2006.00366.x
Yazgan ME, Zer-Toker I (2010) Currency substitution, policy rule and pass-through: evidence from Turkey. Appl Econ 42(18):2365–2378. doi:10.1080/00036840701858018
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Tasseven, O. (2017). The Link Between Dollarization and Its Determinants in Turkey. In: Dinçer, H., Hacioğlu, Ü. (eds) Risk Management, Strategic Thinking and Leadership in the Financial Services Industry . Contributions to Management Science. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47172-3_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-47172-3_5
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-47171-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-47172-3
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)