Urban Anomalous Events Analysis Based on Bayes Probabilistic Model from Mobile Phone Records

  • Rong XieEmail author
  • Ming Huang
Conference paper
Part of the Lecture Notes in Computer Science book series (LNCS, volume 9998)


We present an approach to detecting and analyzing urban anomalous events by Bayes Probabilistic Model. Using actual mobile phone data, we compute individual probability and get individual anomalous index under comparing occurrence probability and ordinary probability in a certain region and period. Expanding individual analysis to group analysis, we make statistics on anomalous activities of group and get their regularity so that we can measure the degree of deviation among activities of group during certain period and the regularity and finally judge whether urban anomalous events take place. Taking two areas in Kuming city, China as case study, we demonstrate effectiveness of our approach.


Mobile phone data Bayes probabilistic model Anomalous event analysis Individual anomalous analysis Group anomalous analysis 



This work is supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China under grant no. 41231171. The authors would like to thank Xiaoqing Zou at Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China for providing us with mobile phone data.


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Copyright information

© Springer International Publishing AG 2016

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.International School of SoftwareWuhan UniversityWuhanChina

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