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A Time Series Forecasting Model Based on Deep Learning Integrated Algorithm with Stacked Autoencoders and SVR for FX Prediction

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Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2016 (ICANN 2016)

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Abstract

This paper proposes a Deep Learning integrated algorithm with Stacked Autoencoders (SAE) and Support Vector Regression (SVR), it is also for the first time that applies the SAE-SVR integrated algorithm to Foreign Exchange (FX) rate forecasting. We adopt 28 currency pairs pertaining to G7 currencies and RenMinBi, and collect the real daily FX data for simulation. To implement the empirical study, we develop the program of SAE-SVR integrated algorithm independently, and benchmark the results with ANN and SVR models, which are considered as the best performance in Artificial Intelligence. Ultimately, the simulation results indicate that the SAE-SVR integrated algorithm performs much better over other benchmarks.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Source: The latest statistics of BIS (Bank for International Settlements) Triennial Central Bank Survey in the size and structure of global foreign exchange and OTC derivatives markets (updated 13 September 2015).

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Correspondence to Hua Shen .

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Shen, H., Liang, X. (2016). A Time Series Forecasting Model Based on Deep Learning Integrated Algorithm with Stacked Autoencoders and SVR for FX Prediction. In: Villa, A., Masulli, P., Pons Rivero, A. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks and Machine Learning – ICANN 2016. ICANN 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9887. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44781-0_39

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44781-0_39

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-44780-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-44781-0

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