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Estimating the Accuracy of Spectral Learning for HMMs

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Artificial Intelligence: Methodology, Systems, and Applications (AIMSA 2016)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 9883))

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Abstract

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are usually learned using the expectation maximisation algorithm which is, unfortunately, subject to local optima. Spectral learning for HMMs provides a unique, optimal solution subject to availability of a sufficient amount of data. However, with access to limited data, there is no means of estimating the accuracy of the solution of a given model. In this paper, a new spectral evaluation method has been proposed which can be used to assess whether the algorithm is converging to a stable solution on a given dataset. The proposed method is designed for real-life datasets where the true model is not available. A number of empirical experiments on synthetic as well as real datasets indicate that our criterion is an accurate proxy to measure quality of models learned using spectral learning.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/MSNBC.com+Anonymous+Web+Data.

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Correspondence to Farhana Ferdousi Liza or Marek GrzeĊ› .

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Liza, F.F., GrzeĊ›, M. (2016). Estimating the Accuracy of Spectral Learning for HMMs. In: Dichev, C., Agre, G. (eds) Artificial Intelligence: Methodology, Systems, and Applications. AIMSA 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9883. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44748-3_5

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-44748-3_5

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-44747-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-44748-3

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