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Decisions and Mistakes

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Tradeoff Decisions in System Design

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Abstract

This chapter describes common mental mistakes that people make. It starts showing examples of wrong knowledge in peoples’ heads. Then it examines prospect theory, a Nobel Prize winning collection of human wrong thinking. Finally, it shows a dozen examples of mental mistakes that might be made while creating trade-off studies and risk analyses.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2002 “for having integrated insights from psychological research into economic science, especially concerning human judgment and decision-making under uncertainty” [10]. Tversky did not share this prize because Nobel prizes are not awarded posthumously.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Systems and Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA

    A. Terry Bahill

  2. Astronautical Engineering Department, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA

    Azad M. Madni

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  1. A. Terry Bahill
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Bahill, A.T., Madni, A.M. (2017). Decisions and Mistakes. In: Tradeoff Decisions in System Design. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43712-5_2

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