Abstract
In his book The Age of Spiritual Machines from 1999, Ray Kurzweil argues that the rate of change in technology tends to increase exponentially [1]. In his essay from 2001, he argued that whenever a specific technological paradigm with exponential growth tends to approach a barrier, which would exhaust its potential, a paradigm shift, i.e., fundamental change or invention of new technology, will occur allowing to cross that barrier [1, 2]. His essay starts with the following introduction.
Several times along the way, I thought we reached the end of the line, things taper off, and our creative engineers come up with ways around them.
—Gordon Moore
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- 1.
Nine-years later, the three were jointly awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics for their invention.
- 2.
For this invention, Jack St. Clair Kilby was awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2000.
- 3.
Nanometer is a unit of length in the metric system, and equals to one billionth of a meter (0.000000001 m).
- 4.
In 1968, Robert H. Dennard invented dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), which stores each bit of data in a separate capacitor within an integrated circuit.
- 5.
Due to inflation, the purchasing power of the dollar changes over time. Constant dollars is the adjustment of the currency used to compare dollar values from one period to another by converting from nominal (current) dollar values to constant dollar values.
- 6.
- 7.
Alan Turing originally suggested that the machine would convince a human in 70 % of the time after five minutes of conversation.
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Steinicke, F. (2016). More and More, and More than Moore’s Law. In: Being Really Virtual. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43078-2_8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43078-2_8
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