Abstract
High urban mortality delayed the transitions to low mortality in nineteenth century Europe but an urban mortality advantage emerged as European transitions progressed into the twentieth century. Recent analysis has suggested that high mortality in the rapidly growing urban slums of developing countries might once again delay transitions to low mortality in the twenty-first century. In this paper, we use data from Demographic and Health Surveys across 37 countries to investigate this hypothesis. We document the changes in child mortality over the last 20 years, with a special focus on urban slums and on differences between small and large cities. We show that slum areas fare worse than other urban areas across all child mortality categories and all city categories, but that generally children growing up in urban slums fare at least as well as children in rural areas. Moreover, the improvements in child mortality appear to have affected slum residents at least as much as other urban and rural residents, indicating a neutral role of slum settlements in the mortality transition of developing countries.
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Notes
- 1.
23 August 2011, www.measuredhs.com
- 2.
Households are considered without access to safe water if the household does not have access to a private or public pipe, bore hole, or a protected well or spring. Households are defined as being deprived of basic sanitation if they either rely on open defecation or use an unimproved pit latrine. Shared sanitation facilities are considered as basic sanitation if they provide access to a flush toilet or ventilated improved pit latrine. A dwelling is considered as overcrowded if there are more than three persons per habitable room. If the floor material of a house is made of earth, dung, sand or wood its structure is considered inadequate.
- 3.
In order to be able to estimate pre-post differences, survey-fixed effects cannot be included in the empirical model.
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Appendix: Countries and Urban 1 Mill. Agglomerations
Appendix: Countries and Urban 1 Mill. Agglomerations
Country | Year(s) | Urban agglomerations above 1 mill. Inhabitants in 2000 |
---|---|---|
Azerbaijan | 2006 | Baku |
Bangladesh | 1993, 2008 | Chittagong, Dhaka Khulna |
Bolivia | 1993, 1998 | La Pay, Santa Cruz |
Brazil | 1991, 1996 | 20 cities |
Burkina Faso | 1992, 1998 | Ouagadougou |
Cameroon | 1991, 1998 | Douala, Yaounde |
Colombia | 1990, 1995 | Barrangquilla, Bogota, Bucaramanga, Cali, Medellin |
Cote d’Ivoire | 1994, 1998 | Abidjan |
Dominican Rep. | 1991, 1996, 2007 | Santo Domingo |
Egypt, Arab Rep. | 1992, 1995 | Cairo, Alexandria |
Ghana | 1993, 1998, 2008 | Accra, Kumasi |
Guinea | 1999 | Conakry |
Haiti | 1994, 2005 | Port-au-Prince |
India | 2005 | 43 cities |
Jordan | 1997, 2007 | Amman |
Kazakhstan | 1995 | Almaty |
Kenya | 1993, 1998, 2008 | Nairobi |
Madagascar | 1992, 1997, 2008 | Antananarivo |
Mali | 1995, 2006 | Bamako |
Morocco | 1992 | Casablanca, Fes, Rabat |
Mozambique | 1997 | Maputo |
Niger | 1992, 1998, 2006 | Niamey |
Nigeria | 1999, 2008 | Abuja, Benin City, Ibadan Kaduna, Kano, Lagos, Ogbomosho, Port Harcourt |
Pakistan | 2006 | Faisalabad, Gujranwala, Hyderabad, Karachi, Lahore, Multan, Peshawar, Rawalpindi |
Peru | 1991, 1996, 2003 | Lima |
Philippines | 1993, 1998, 2008 | Davao, Manila |
Senegal | 1992, 1997, 2006, 2008 | Dakar |
South Africa | 1998 | Cape Town, Durban, East Rand, Johannesburg, Port Elizabeth, Pretoria, Vereeniging |
Togo | 1998 | Lome |
Turkey | 1993, 1998 | Adana, Ankara, Bursa, Gaziantep, Istanbul, Izmir |
Uganda | 1995, 2006 | Kampala |
Ukraine | 2007 | Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Kiev, Odesa |
Uzbekistan | 1996 | Tashkent |
Vietnam | 1997, 2000 | Ha Noi, Hai Phong, Ho Chi Minh City |
Yemen, Rep. | 1991 | Sanaa |
Zambia | 1992, 1996, 2007 | Lusaka |
Zimbabwe | 1994, 2005 | Harare |
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Fink, G., Günther, I., Hill, K. (2016). Urban Mortality Transitions: The Role of Slums. In: Ramiro Fariñas, D., Oris, M. (eds) New Approaches to Death in Cities during the Health Transition. International Studies in Population, vol 12. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43002-7_11
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-43002-7_11
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