Abstract
In this chapter, the notion of flood risk is interpreted and factors influencing flood risk: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability are examined. A holistic perspective on changing flood risk is provided. Economic losses from floods have greatly increased over last decades, principally driven by the growing exposure of assets at risk. It has not been found possible to attribute observed rain-generated peak streamflow trends to anthropogenic climate change, generally. Based on physical reasoning, increases in the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall should contribute to increase in risk of precipitation-generated local flooding (e.g., flash flooding and urban flooding) in many areas.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
CEC (Commission of European Communities) (2007) Directive 2007/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 October 2007 on the assessment and management of flood risks. Official J Eur Union L 288:27â34
Handmer J, Honda Y, Kundzewicz ZW, Arnell N, Benito G, Hatfield J, Mohamed IF, Peduzzi P, Wu S, Sherstyukov B, Takahashi K, Yan Z (2012) Changes in impacts of climate extremes: human systems and ecosystems. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 231â290
IPCC (2014) Annex II: glossary. In: Mach KJ, Planton S, von Stechow C (eds) Climate change 2014: synthesis report. Contribution of working groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Core Writing Team, Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds). IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, pp 117â130
IWR (Institute for Water Resources, US Army Corps of Engineers) (2011) Flood risk management approaches as being practiced in Japan, Netherlands, United Kingdom, and United States. IWR Report No. 2011-R-08, 124Â pp
Kharin V, Zwiers FW, Zhang X, Hegerl GC (2007) Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the IPCC ensemble of global coupled model simulations. J Clim 20(8):1419â1444
Kron W (2012) Changing flood riskâa reinsurerâs viewpoint. Chapter 26 In: Kundzewicz ZW (ed) Changes in flood risk in Europe. IAHS Press, Wallingford
Kundzewicz ZW (ed) (2012) Changes in flood risk in Europe. IAHS Press, Wallingford
Kundzewicz ZW, Schellnhuber H-J (2004) Floods in the IPCC TAR perspective. Nat Hazards 31:111â128
Kundzewicz ZW et al (2012) Flood risk in Europeâsetting the stage. In: Kundzewicz ZW (ed) Changes in flood risk in Europe. IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp 11â26
Kundzewicz ZW, Kanae S, Seneviratne SI et al (2014) Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives. Hydrol Sci J 59(1):1â28
Madsen H et al (2014) Review of trend analysis and climate change projections of extreme precipitation and floods in Europe. J Hydrol 519:3634â3650
NiedĆșwiedĆș T, Ćupikasza E (2016) Change in circulation patterns. In: Kundzewicz ZW, Stoffel M, NiedĆșwiedĆș T, WyĆŒga B (eds) Flood risk in the Upper Vistula Basin. Springer, Cham (this volume)
Peduzzi P, Deichmann U, Maskrey AS et al (2009) Global disaster risk: patterns, trends and drivers, ISDR (2009) global assessment report on disaster risk reduction. United Nations, Geneva, Switzerland, pp 17â57 (chapter 2)
Seneviratne SI, Nicholls N, Easterling D, Goodess CM, Kanae S, Kossin J, Luo Y, Marengo J, McInnes K, Rahimi M, Reichstein M, Sorteberg A, Vera C, Zhang X (2012) Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Allen SK, Tignor M, Midgley PM (eds) Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of working groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 109â230
UNISDR (2011) Revealing risk, redefining development, global assessment report on disaster risk reduction. United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, Geneva, Switzerland, p 178
Acknowledgments
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support of the FLORIST project (Flood risk on the northern foothills of the Tatra Mountains), based on a grant from the Swiss Government through the Swiss Contribution to the enlarged European Union (PSPB No. 153/2010). Useful comments made on the draft of this paper by Professor Bartlomiej Wyzga are also gratefully acknowledged.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Kundzewicz, Z.W., Stoffel, M. (2016). Anatomy of Flood Risk. In: Kundzewicz, Z., Stoffel, M., NiedĆșwiedĆș, T., WyĆŒga, B. (eds) Flood Risk in the Upper Vistula Basin. GeoPlanet: Earth and Planetary Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-41923-7_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-41923-7_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-41922-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-41923-7
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)