Abstract
Since its origin nearly forty centuries ago maritime piracy continues to threaten global trade, impacting thousands of merchant vessels each year. Increased security on board merchant ships as well as more costly military countermeasures have been deployed with great success around the Horn of Africa, yet the number of incidents occurring within the Gulf of Guinea have recently drastically increased. This paper will present an agent-based model (ABM) simulating merchant vessels sailing within an environment in which a number of pirates and Naval warships are present. Results demonstrate how ABMs can be used to explore the impact of various piracy countermeasures and discover potentially counter-intuitive consequences of different macro-level policies and micro-level decisions. Ultimately this work serves as a proof of concept for using ABMs to assess the efficacy of strategies for combatting maritime piracy and lays the foundation for future models to inform policy and tactics.
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Sibley, C. (2016). Be Alert and Stay the Course: An Agent-Based Model Exploring Maritime Piracy Countermeasures. In: Xu, K., Reitter, D., Lee, D., Osgood, N. (eds) Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling. SBP-BRiMS 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9708. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39931-7_34
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39931-7_34
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