Abstract
This study explores many details of the drivers response to dynamic travel information with variable message signs (VMS) which is the one of the most common advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) deployed in many areas all over the world. A stated preference (SP) survey was conducted in some parts of China to collect various drivers behavior information with VMS. Based on the findings from the surveys, seventeen potential affecting factors for driver compliance with VMS are identified and applied to further study. A binary logistic regression model is adopted to evaluate the significance of these seventeen factors. Gender, age, whether full-time worker, delay ratio of the current route, knowledge of an alternate route, length ratio of an alternate route, and crowded level on an alternate route are proved to be significant variables affecting driver compliance under dynamic travel information with VMS. Classification and regression trees (CART) is adopted to develop the driver compliance model. The CART model reveals the hierarchical structure of driver compliance and produces many interesting findings. The developed model is evaluated with collected data from SP survey and shows a reasonable performance. The CART model explains the behavior data most clearly and maintains the highest prediction rate.
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Acknowledgments
This paper is supported by Program of Doctoral Scientific Research Foundation of National Police University of China (Traffic Congestion Alarming based on GPS Equipped Vehicles), Training Program of the Major Research Plan of National Po-lice University of China (Study on Road Traffic State Extraction based on Locating Point Group of GPS Equipped Vehicles), General Project of Liaoning Provincial Education Department of China (L2015554), Technology Research Program of Ministry of Public Security of China (Study on Road Traffic State Extraction based on Locating Point Group of GPS Equipped Vehicles) and Project of Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province (Dual-mode Traffic Guidance Models and Infor-mation Releasing policies).
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Appendix
Appendix
1. Driver Survey Questionnaire Demographic characteristics of drivers
Where are you living?
(a) Northeast (b) North China (c) East China (d) Central South (e) Northwest (f) Southwest
What kind of city you are living?
(a) Village (b) County (c) Common City (d) Provincial Capital (e) Municipality What is your gender?
(a) Woman (b) Man
What is your age?
(a) Less than 20 (b) 20Â 29 (c) 30Â 39 (d) 40Â 49 (e) 50Â 59 (f) Greater than 60
Have you ever get married?
(a) No (b) Yes
What is your degree?
(a) Elementary School (b) Middle School (c) University (d) Master or Doctor
What is your job?
(a) Student (b) Company Staffer (c) Civil Servant (d) Teacher or Doctor (e) Freelancer (f) other
Are you engaged in full-time work?
(a) No (b) Yes
How much is your monthly income (Yuan)?
(a) Less than 2000 (b) 2000Â 4000 (c) 4000Â 8000 (d) Greater than 8000
2. Perceptions of dynamic travel information
How serious do you think about traffic congestion around your hometown?
(a) Nothing serious (b) Generally serious (c) Very serious (d) Not sure
Do you feel that the availability of travel information in regards to traffic congestion is important?
(a) Not important (b) Generally important (c) Very important (d) Not sure
3. Driver behaviors under dynamic travel information
Please recall an experience of your travel, and then we will ask you some questions about how you make your decision under traffic congestions and travel information with VMS. If you cant get any experience, please give us your estimation based on the following questions. How do you think the length of current route?
(a) Less than 0.5Â km (b) 0.5Â 1Â km (c) 1Â 2Â km (d) 2Â 4Â km (e) 4Â 8Â km (f) Greater than 8Â km (g) Not sure
How do you think the travel time of current route?
(a) Less than 5Â min (b) 5Â 10Â min (c) 10Â 20Â min (d) 20Â 40Â min (e) Greater than 40Â min (f) Not sure
How do you think the crowded level on the current route?
(a) Lowest (b) Lower (c) Upper (d) Highest (e) Not sure
How do you think the vehicle queue length of the current route?
(a) Less than 50Â m (b) 50Â 100Â m (c) 100Â 200Â m (d) 200Â 400Â m (e) 400Â 800Â m (f) Greater than 800Â m (g) Not sure
How do you think the delay of the current route?
(a) Less than 2Â min (b) 2Â 5Â min (c) 5Â 10Â min (d) 10Â 20Â min (e) 20Â 40Â min (f) Greater than 40Â min (g) Not sure
Are you familiar with the alternate route?
(a) Lowest (b) Lower (c) Upper (d) Highest (e) Not sure
How do you think the length of alternate route?
(a) Less than 0.5Â km (b) 0.5Â 1Â km (c) 1Â 2Â km (d) 2Â 4Â km (e) 4Â 8Â km (f) Greater than 8Â km (g) Not sure
How do you think the crowded level on the alternate route?
(a) Lowest (b) Lower (c) Upper (d) Highest (e) Not sure
How do you think the anticipated travel time saving on the alternate route?
(a) Less than 2Â min (b) 2Â 5Â min (c) 5Â 10Â min (d) 10Â 20Â min (e) 20Â 40Â min (f) Greater than 40Â min (g) Not sure
Based on all given questions above, would you take an alternate route?
(a) Yes (b) No
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Chang, A., Wang, J., Jin, Y. (2017). Driver Compliance Model Under Dynamic Travel Information with ATIS. In: Balas, V., Jain, L., Zhao, X. (eds) Information Technology and Intelligent Transportation Systems. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 454. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-38789-5_29
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