Abstract
Delphi approaches are often seen as the main tool in ForSTI studies. Though many major exercises have been mounted without any use of these at all, the variety of forms and applications means that they can then prove valuable. Given their prominence, and their particular features, a chapter devoted to Delphi approaches makes sense in this book. Another reason is that there are many misunderstandings about why and how to conduct Delphis.
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Notes
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- 2.
For a detailed analysis of the survey regarding challenges and thematic fields for cooperation see the ERA.Net RUS foresight report at www.eranet-rus.eu
- 3.
The workshops had asked members to identify topics under a number of headings: Governance & mobility; Health & privacy; Industrial relations; Living conditions; Sustainability & development; and Working conditions. Those considered to be reasonable as descriptors of the Knowledge Society by 2015 were: Widespread use of ICT in e-governance enhances transparency in the procedures concerning the relationship between the citizen and the state in my country; EU policies are used to promote labour market mobility, despite resistance from individuals, trade unions and employer organisations.; Widespread use of telemedicine and on-line health monitoring systems increases the ability of people with serious chronic and age related diseases to maintain their independence; New forms of networked business organisation, that were unknown or very rare at the turn of the century, will now account for a substantial level of economic activity in my country; A major increase occurs in my country in the use of electronic networks for remote supervision of new kinds of work (teleworking, mobile working), and new atypical forms of work; Harmonisation of educational standards (including certification) across the EU increases trust and transparency in my country’s educational system; Life-long learning becomes widespread with a majority of workers undertaking more than one period of substantial retraining during their working life.; Despite social and employment policy interventions, for most workers their work-life balance deteriorates causing rising family stress and conflict; Europe has developed into a leading force in the area of sustainable development and the use of environmental technologies; Social and policy changes in my country encourage female entry into professional and technical jobs that are currently male-dominated, leading to substantial decreases in gender-related pay inequalities; and Widespread abandonment of conventional notions of retirement in my country enable the elderly to continue working if they wish to.
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Work-life balance was the criterion concerning which respondents to the Delphi were least likely to anticipate positive improvements as a result of Knowledge Society developments.
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Miles, I., Saritas, O., Sokolov, A. (2016). Intelligence: Delphi. In: Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3_6
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