Abstract
Previous work has shown that the prediction of meteorological conditions through methods based on artificial intelligence can get satisfactory results. Forecasts of meteorological time series can help decision-making processes carried out by organizations responsible of disaster prevention. We introduce an architecture based on Deep Learning for the prediction of the accumulated daily precipitation for the next day. More specifically, it includes an autoencoder for reducing and capturing non-linear relationships between attributes, and a multilayer perceptron for the prediction task. This architecture is compared with other previous proposals and it demonstrates an improvement on the ability to predict the accumulated daily precipitation for the next day.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
This threshold was obtained by talking with domain experts.
References
World Health Organization: Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses. World Health Organization, January 2003
Alcntara-Ayala, I.: Geomorphology, natural hazards, vulnerability and prevention of natural disasters in developing countries. Geomorphology 47(24), 107–124 (2002)
Nicholls, N.: Atmospheric and climatic hazards: Improved monitoring and prediction for disaster mitigation. Natural Hazards 23(2–3), 137–155 (2001)
Zhang, G., Eddy Patuwo, B., Hu, M.Y.: Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art. Int. J. Forecast. 14(1), 35–62 (1998)
Bengio, Y.: Learning deep architectures for AI. Found. Trends Mach. Learn. 2(1), 1–127 (2009)
Arel, I., Rose, D.C., Karnowski, T.P.: Deep machine learning - A new frontier in artificial intelligence research. IEEE Comput. Intell. Mag. 5(4), 13–18 (2010)
Lngkvist, M., Karlsson, L., Loutfi, A.: A review of unsupervised feature learning and deep learning for time-series modeling. Pattern Recogn. Lett. 42, 11–24 (2014)
Sawale, G.J., Gupta, S.R.: Use of artificial neural network in data mining for weather forecasting. Int. J. Comput. Sci. Appl. 6(2), 383–387 (2013)
Luk, K.C., Ball, J.E., Sharma, A.: A study of optimal model lag and spatial inputs to artificial neural network for rainfall forecasting. J. Hydrol. 227(14), 56–65 (2000)
Beltrán-Castro, J., Valencia-Aguirre, J., Orozco-Alzate, M., Castellanos-Domínguez, G., Travieso-González, C.M.: Rainfall forecasting based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition and neural networks. In: Joya, G., Gabestany, J., Rojas, I. (eds.) IWANN 2013, Part I. LNCS, vol. 7902, pp. 471–480. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)
Abhishek, K., Kumar, A., Ranjan, R., Kumar, S.: A rainfall prediction model using artificial neural network. In: 2012 IEEE Control and System Graduate Research Colloquium (ICSGRC), pp. 82–87, July 2012
Liu, J.N.K., Li, B.N.L., Dillon, T.S.: An improved naive Bayesian classifier technique coupled with a novel input solution method [rainfall prediction]. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C: Appl. Rev. 2, 249–256 (2001)
James, N.K., Liu, Y.H., You, J.J., Chan, P.W.: Deep Neural Network Based Feature Representation for Weather Forecasting, 261–267 (2014)
Kapoor, A., Horvitz, Z., Laube, S., Horvitz, E.: Airplanes aloft as a sensor network for wind forecasting. In: Proceedings of the 13th International Symposium on Information Processing in Sensor Networks, IPSN 2014, pp. 25–34. Piscataway, NJ, USA, IEEE Press (2014)
Grover, A., Kapoor, A., Horvitz, E.: A Deep Hybrid Model for Weather Forecasting, pp. 379–386. Sydney (2015)
Vassiliadis, P.: A survey of extracttransformload technology. Int. J. Data Warehouse Min. 5(3), 1–27 (2009)
Duque-Mndez, N.D., Orozco-Alzate, M., Vlez, J.J.: Hydro-meteorological data analysis using OLAP techniques. DYNA 81(185), 160 (2014)
Vincent, P., Larochelle, H., Bengio, Y., Manzagol, P.-A.: Extracting and composing robust features with denoising autoencoders. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2008, pp. 1096–1103. ACM, New York, NY, USA (2008)
LISA lab. Deep Learning Tutorials DeepLearning 0.1 documentation
Larochelle, H., Bengio, Y.: Classification using discriminative restricted boltzmann machines. In: Proceedings of the 25th International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2008, pp. 536–543. ACM, New York, NY, USA (2008)
Acknowledgements
This work is partially supported by the MINECO/FEDER TIN2012-36586-C03-01 of the Spanish government.
The authors thank the Instituto de Estudios Ambientales - IDEA, of Universidad Nacional de Colombia - Sede Manizales for their help in obtaining the data and guidance regarding the operation of environmental monitoring networks and hydrometeorological stations.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland
About this paper
Cite this paper
Hernández, E., Sanchez-Anguix, V., Julian, V., Palanca, J., Duque, N. (2016). Rainfall Prediction: A Deep Learning Approach. In: Martínez-Álvarez, F., Troncoso, A., Quintián, H., Corchado, E. (eds) Hybrid Artificial Intelligent Systems. HAIS 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9648. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32034-2_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32034-2_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-32033-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-32034-2
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)