Abstract
Cascading failures are a challenging issue in Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP) and related modelling, simulation and analysis (MS & A) activities. Critical Infrastructures (CIs) are complex systems of ever increasing complexity. A single failure may be propagated and amplified resulting in serious disruptions of some societal vital services. A dynamic model describing cascading random failures that occur following Poisson Stochastic Process (PSP) is proposed. The proposed model considers only independent failures. Additional R & D effort is necessary before extending the model to dependent failures.
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Acknowledgments
The work presented in this paper has been partially realized and fully used in the frame of the EU collaborative project “PREDICT: PREparing for the Domino effect in Crisis siTuations”, FP7-SEC-2013-1.
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Eid, M., Kling, T., Hakkarainen, T., Barbarin, Y., Grangeat, A., Serafin, D. (2016). Cascading Failures: Dynamic Model for CIP Purposes - Case of Random Independent Failures Following Poisson Stochastic Process. In: Panayiotou, C., Ellinas, G., Kyriakides, E., Polycarpou, M. (eds) Critical Information Infrastructures Security. CRITIS 2014. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 8985. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-31664-2_33
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-31664-2_33
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