Skip to main content

Gazing into the Crystal Ball

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
  • 753 Accesses

Abstract

The phenomenon of IS will continue to grow in the short to medium term. Part of the reason for this relates to the fact that the reformation of Islam has largely stalled on account of the fight back from more conservative clerics. Demographic and environmental variables are also serving to fuel religious fundamentalism globally. Given the austerity measures adopted by many Western countries, security forces are not properly resourced to take on the challenge posed by these global jihadis. As a result, European security officials pessimistically believe that it is only a matter of time when terrorism once again strikes their cities. The IS franchise is going global with 17 regional affiliates and 60 sleeper cells around the world.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   44.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   59.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   59.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Betancor, “Outside the box: Is the Islamic State close to victory?,” op. cit.

  2. 2.

    Ibid.

  3. 3.

    Pipes, “Why the Paris Massacre will have Limited Impact,” op. cit.

  4. 4.

    Jon Stone, “Isis in the Middle East: Dozens of UK families beg police for help stopping relatives travelling to Syria,” The Independent. Last modified, October 17, 2014. Date accessed: November 24, 2014. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/isis-in-the-middle-east-dozens-of-uk-families-beg-police-for-help-stopping-relatives-traveling-to-syria-9801102.html.

  5. 5.

    Ibid.

  6. 6.

    Siebold, Hafezi and Mohammed, “U.S. to send special forces to Syria, truce sought after peace talks,” op. cit.

  7. 7.

    David E. Sanger, “Agreement Reached to Restart Syria Peace Talks and Seek Cease-Fire,” The New York Times. Last modified, October 30, 2015. Date accessed: November 2, 2015. http://www.nyimes.com/2015/10/31/world/middleeast/agreement-reached-to-restart-syria-peace-talks-and-seek-cease-fire.html.

  8. 8.

    Betancor, “Outside the box: Is the Islamic State close to victory”, op. cit.

  9. 9.

    Scarborough, “Killing Islamic State’s leaders useless; ‘deep bench’ replaces the dead,” op. cit.

  10. 10.

    Katie Zavadski, “ISIS now has a network of military affiliates in 11 countries around the world,” NYMAG. Last modified, November 23, 2014. Date accessed: November 25, 2014. http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/11/isis-now-has-military-allies-in-11-countries.html.

  11. 11.

    Olivia McCoy, “Islamic State Calls for Al Shabaab to Pledge Allegiance,” Centre for Security Policy. Last modified, May 22, 2015. Date accessed: November 9, 2015. https://www.centreforsecuritypolicy.org/2015/05/22/islamic-state-calls-for-al-shabaab-t0-pledge-allegiance.

  12. 12.

    Atwan, “When it comes to ‘Islamic State,’ the West just doesn’t get it,” op. cit.

  13. 13.

    Scarborough, “Killing Islamic State’s leaders useless; ‘deep bench’ replaces the dead,” op. cit.

  14. 14.

    Robin Simcox, “‘We Will Conquer Your Rome’: A Study of Islamic State’s Terrorism Plots in the West” (London: Centre for the Response to Radicalization and Terrorism, Henry Jackson Society, 2015), p. 3.

  15. 15.

    Alessandria Masi, “ISIS, aka Islamic State, Warns of Sleeper Cell Attacks on US interests in retaliation for bombings,” IB Times. Last modified, August 8, 2015. Date accessed: December 1, 2014. http://www.ibtimes.com/isis-aka-islamic-state-warns-sleeper-cell-attacks-us-interests-retaliation-bombings-1653437.

  16. 16.

    Nico Hines, “Crackdown: To Stop ISIS, Britain is set to Stop Free Speech,” The Daily Beast. Last modified, November 25, 2014. Date accessed: November 26, 2014. http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/11/25/to-stop-isis-britain-is-set-to-stop-free-speech.html.

  17. 17.

    Thomas Jocelynn, “Islamic State video congratulates Sinai ‘province’ for downing Russian airliner” Threat Matrix: A Blog of the Long War Journal. Last modified, November 6, 2015. Date accessed: November 9, 2015. http://longwarjournal.org/archives/2015/11/islamic-state-video-congratulates-sinai-province-for-downing-russian-airliner.php.

  18. 18.

    “Day of mourning in Lebanon after deadly Beirut bombings,” Al Jazeera. Last modified, November 13, 2015. Date accessed: November 15, 2015. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/11/isil-claims-suicide-bombing-southern-beirut-151112193802793.html.

  19. 19.

    Paul Ingram, “Crowds gather for anti-Islam demonstration outside Phoenix mosque,” Reuters. Last modified, May 30, 2015. Date accessed: July 9, 2015. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/30/us-usa-islam-cartoon-idUSKBN0OE23320150530.

  20. 20.

    Durie, “Sex Slavery and the Islamic State,” op. cit.

  21. 21.

    Williams, op. cit., p. 1.

  22. 22.

    Manasi Gopalkrishnan, “An interview of Dr. Moshe Terdiman on Deutsche Welle (DW) on the Muslim Population by 2050,” Date accessed: April 21, 2015. https://muslimsinafrica.wordpress.com/2015/04/08/an-interview-of-dr-moshe-terdiman-on-deutsche-welle-dw-on-the-muslim-population-by-2050.

  23. 23.

    Colin Freeman, “Nigeria’s descent into holy war,” The Daily Telegraph, Last modified, January 8, 2015. Date accessed: January 9, 2015. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new/worldnews/africaandindianocean/nigeria89999758/N.

  24. 24.

    Eric Kaufmann, “Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth? Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century.” (London: Profile Books, 2010).

  25. 25.

    Ibid., p. xvi.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2016 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s)

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Solomon, H. (2016). Gazing into the Crystal Ball. In: Islamic State and the Coming Global Confrontation. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30719-0_5

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics