Abstract
Borooah examines the effects of incumbency on vote share: are incumbent parties in a constituency, on average, more likely to get a larger vote share than parties that are challenging? Aggregated over all eight elections between 1989 and 2014, the average predicted vote share for INC incumbents was higher than that for INC challengers and, similarly, the average predicted vote share for BJP incumbents was higher than that for BJP challengers. However, compared to the average predicted vote shares for the BJP when it was the incumbent party, the INC did not do as well as the incumbent party but the INC did better than the BJP when both were challenger parties.
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Reference
Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric analysis (5th ed.). Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall.
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Borooah, V.K. (2016). Analysis of Vote Shares. In: Votes, Parties, and Seats. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30487-8_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-30487-8_5
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Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-30486-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-30487-8
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